Honestly, I think Melissa will DEFINITELY have to be "on" to beat PG. By the same token, I think PG will need to get off to a strong start, and not put the ball on the ground. A slow start by PG, a good start by Melissa, and we're looking at a shootout.
I don't think the game will be a shootout. I look for a 30 something to 20 something type game, with PG getting the win.