District Race Overview and Playoff Projections after Week 9

[WOS87]

The projected finishes are primarily based on who's beaten who so far head-to-head. In the case of districts where there are teams that don't have an obvious direct connection of wins and losses to rank them, I used the district power rating which is calculated using the same algorithm I used in my statewide 3A ratings the past 3 years

The number in parentheses is the power rating calculated solely on district games played. All power ratings combined for a district should add up to zero

The difference between power ratings for two teams can be extrapolated as a predicted margin of victory or loss based on prior district game results.

1-3A
The story so far:
Borger beat Levelland by 36
Borger beat Lubbock Cooper by 8
Borger beat Dalhart by 3
Borger beat Perryton by 1
Lubbock Estacado beat Lubbock Cooper by 33
Lubbock Estacado beat Levelland by 31
Lubbock Estacado beat Dalhart by 10
Dalhart beat Levelland by 48
Dalhart beat Lubbock Cooper by 21
Perryton beat Levelland by 32
Perryton beat Lubbock Estacado by 12
Lubbock Cooper beat Perryton by 1

Circular games: Estacado beat Dalhart, Dalhart beat Cooper, Cooper beat Perryton, Perryton beat Estacado

Projected finish:
1. Lubbock Estacado (10.9) - D1
2. Borger (7.4)
3. Dalhart (9.9)
4. Perryton (6.4)
5. Lubbock Cooper (-6.6)
6. Levelland (-28.1)


2-3A
The story so far:
Abilene Wylie beat Breckenridge by 28
Abilene Wylie beat Brownwood by 20
Abilene Wylie beat Snyder by 17
Brownwood beat Sweetwater by 42
Brownwood beat Breckenridge by 38
Brownwood beat Graham by 1
Graham beat Sweetwater by 31
Graham beat Snyder by 14
Graham beat Abilene Wylie by 3
Snyder beat Sweetwater by 52
Snyder beat Breckenridge by 35
Sweetwater beat Breckenridge by 27

Projected finish:
1. Abilene Wylie (22.8) - D1
2. Brownwood (16.2)
3. Graham (20.9)
4. Snyder (14.9)
5. Sweetwater (-17.2)
6. Breckenridge (-22.8)


3-3A
The story so far:
Monahans beat Brownfield by 47
Monahans beat Lamesa by 41
Monahans beat Andrews by 39
Monahans beat Seminole by 28
Andrews beat Midland Greenwood by 16
Andrews beat Lamesa by 2
Midland Greenwood beat Brownfield by 20
Midland Greenwood beat Lamesa by 15
Midland Greenwood beat Seminole by 14
Seminole beat Brownfield by 46
Seminole beat Andrews by 18
Lamesa beat Brownfield by 2

Projected finish:
1. Monahans (30.9)
2. Seminole (6.9)
3. Andrews (-3.3) - D1
4. Midland Greenwood (0.4)
5. Lamesa (-12.6)
6. Brownfield (-22.3)

I'm seeing a 3-way tie between Seminole, Andrews and Greenwood likely.

Andrews beat Greenwood by 16, Greenwood beat Seminole by 14, Seminole beat Andrews by 16. How would the tiebreak work??


4-3A
The story so far:
Fort Stockton beat Tornillo by 63
Fort Stockton beat Fabens by 48
Fort Stockton beat Clint by 32
Fort Stockton beat Pecos by 21
Pecos beat Fabens by 38
Pecos beat Tornillo by 34
Pecos beat Anthony by 31
Fabens beat Anthony by 29
Fabens beat Clint by 6
Clint beat Tornillo by 43
Clint beat Anthony by 19
Anthony beat Tornillo by 1

Projected finish:
1. Fort Stockton (37.5)
2. Pecos (16.1)
3. Fabens (-4.7) - D1
4. Clint (1.6)
5. Anthony (-23.0)
6. Tornillo (-27.2)


5-3A
The story so far:
Bridgeport beat Vernon by 42
Bridgeport beat WF Hirschi by 42
Bridgeport beat Burkburnett by 27
Bridgeport beat Iowa Park by 7
Burkburnett beat Vernon by 34
Burkburnett beat Decatur by 29
Burkburnett beat Iowa Park by 7
Iowa Park beat WF Hirschi by 7
Iowa Park beat Decatur by 6
Vernon beat WF Hirschi by 24
Decatur beat WF Hirschi by 11
Decatur beat Vernon by 7

Projected finish:
1. Bridgeport (25.3)
2. Burkburnett (12.5) - D1
3. Iowa Park (2.3)
4. Decatur (-8.5)
5. Vernon (-12.3)
6. Wichita Falls Hirschi (-19.3)


7-3A
The story so far:
Glen Rose beat Whitney by 37
Glen Rose beat Gatesville by 35
Glen Rose beat West by 17
West beat Hillsboro by 41
West beat China Spring by 4
China Spring beat Whitney by 43
China Spring beat Hillsboro by 31
China Spring beat Glen Rose by 3
Gatesville beat Hillsboro by 39
Gatesville beat Whitney by 10
Gatesville beat West by 10
Whitney beat Hillsboro by 5

Projected finish:
1. China Spring (14.2)
2. Glen Rose (22.8)
3. Gatesville (2.0) - D1
4. West (7.3)
5. Whitney (-18.5)
6. Hillsboro (-27.8)

8-3A
The story so far:
Wimberley beat Burnet by 7
Wimberley beat Llano by 18
Wimberley beat Canyon Lake by 23
Wimberley beat Ingram Moore by 59
Burnet beat Ingram Moore by 64
Burnet beat Liberty Hill by 42
Burnet beat Llano by 14
Burnet beat Fredericksburg by 6
Canyon Lake beat Ingram Moore by 35
Canyon Lake beat Llano by 21
Canyon Lake beat Liberty Hill by 7
Canyon Lake beat Fredericksburg by 7
Liberty Hill beat Wimberley by 2
Liberty Hill beat Fredericksburg by 20
Liberty Hill beat Ingram Moore by 76
Llano beat Fredericksburg by 21
Llano beat Ingram Moore by 62
Fredericksburg beat Ingram Moore by 30

Circular games: Liberty Hill beat Wimberley, Wimberley beat Canyon Lake, Canyon Lake beat Liberty Hill

Projected finish:
1. Wimberley (13.2)
2. Burnet (13.6) - D1
3. Canyon Lake (-0.8)
4. Liberty Hill (2.0)
5. Llano (-1.8)
6. Fredericksburg (-12.6)
7. Ingram Moore (-52.1)


9-3A
The story so far:
Argyle beat Whitesboro by 29
Argyle beat Sanger by 27
Argyle beat Gainesville by 24
Argyle beat Prosper by 3
Prosper beat Whitesboro by 46
Prosper beat Celina by 24
Prosper beat Sanger by 20
Celina beat Gainesville by 39
Celina beat Sanger by 34
Celina beat Whitesboro by 31
Sanger beat Gainesville by 21
Gainesville beat Whitesboro by 3

Projected finish:
1. Argyle (14.0)
2. Prosper (21.5) - D1
3. Celina (13.2)
4. Sanger (-8.0)
5. Gainesville (-20.5)
6. Whitesboro (-20.2)


10-3A
The story so far:
Paris beat Commerce by 63
Paris beat Bonham by 44
Paris beat Anna by 35
Paris beat North Lamar by 13
Van Alstyne beat Commerce by 24
Van Alstyne beat Anna by 21
Van Alstyne beat Bonham by 8
Van Alstyne beat North Lamar by 6
North Lamar beat Anna by 28
North Lamar beat Bonham by 7
Anna beat Commerce by 14
Commerce beat Bonham by 36

Projected finish:
1. Paris (29.8)
2. Van Alstyne (5.8)
3. Paris North Lamar (6.0) – D1
4. Anna (-10.6)
5. Commerce (-14.2)
6. Bonham (-16.9)


11-3A
The story so far:
Lake Worth beat Madison by 11
Lake Worth beat Carter-Riverside by 24
Lake Worth beat Castleberry by 28
Lake Worth beat Roosevelt by 48
Lake Worth beat Diamond Hill by 63
Madison beat Carter-Riverside by 16
Madison beat Castleberry by 26
Madison beat Ranchview by 32
Madison beat Roosevelt by 34
Carter-Riverside beat Ranchview by 3
Carter-Riverside beat Roosevelt by 25
Carter-Riverside beat Diamond Hill by 36
Castleberry beat Ranchview by 7
Castleberry beat Diamond Hill by 19
Castleberry beat Roosevelt by 58
Ranchview beat Roosevelt by 32
Ranchview beat Diamond Hill by 25
Diamond Hill beat Roosevelt by 2

Projected finish:
1. Lake Worth (31.3)
2. Dallas Madison (22.5)
3. Fort Worth Castleberry (6.3) - D1
4. FW Carter-Riverside (5.1)
5. Carrollton Ranchview (-0.5)
6. FW Diamond Hill-Jarvis (-25.1)
7. Dallas Roosevelt (-26.6)


12-3A
The story so far:
Kennedale beat Alvarado by 16
Kennedale beat Kaufman by 45
Kennedale beat Venus by 65
Alvarado beat Kaufman by 13
Alvarado beat Crandall by 17
Alvarado beat Ferris by 24
Ferris beat Kennedale by 1
Ferris beat Venus by 68
Kaufman beat Crandall by 7
Kaufman beat Venus by 29
Crandall beat Ferris by 3
Crandall beat Venus by 61

Projected finish
1. Kennedale (24.4)
2. Alvarado (17.2) - D1
3. Ferris (9.7)
4. Kaufman (-6.3)
5. Crandall (3.1)
6. Venus (-48.0)


13-3A
The story so far:
Farmersville beat Rains by 24
Farmersville beat Quinlan by 17
Farmersville beat Lovejoy by 9
Farmersville beat Community by 9
Lovejoy beat Princeton by 35
Lovejoy beat Quinlan by 23
Lovejoy beat Community by 23
Community beat Rains by 24
Community beat Princeton by 16
Quinlan beat Princeton by 30
Quinlan beat Rains by 23
Princeton beat Rains by 14

Projected finish:
1. Farmersville (15.1)
2. Lucas Lovejoy (18.5) - D1
3. Quinlan Ford (2.4)
4. Nevada Community (1.1)
5. Princeton (-16.4)
6. Emory Rains (-20.7)


14-3A
The story so far:
Wills Point beat Canton by 10
Wills Point beat Van by 13
Wills Point beat Kemp by 33
Wills Point beat Eustace by 33
Eustace beat Kemp by 1
Eustace beat Canton by 15
Eustace beat Mineola by 30
Van beat Kemp by 3
Van beat Mineola by 7
Van beat Canton by 25
Canton beat Mineola by 2
Mineola beat Kemp by 21

Projected finish:
1. Wills Point (19.3) - D1
2. Van (4.0)
3. Eustace (1.8)
4. Canton (-7.6)
5. Mineola (-7.5)
6. Kemp (-10.1)


16-3A
The story so far:
Pittsburg beat New Boston by 11
Pittsburg beat Mount Vernon by 28
Pittsburg beat Liberty-Eylau by 23
Pittsburg beat Atlanta by 25
Liberty-Eylau beat Pleasant Grove by 20
Liberty-Eylau beat Atlanta by 21
Liberty-Eylau beat Mount Vernon by 40
Pleasant Grove beat Mount Vernon by 14
Pleasant Grove beat New Boston by 21
Pleasant Grove beat Atlanta by 28
New Boston beat Mount Vernon by 20
New Boston beat Atlanta by 25

Projected finish:
1. Pittsburg (16.3)
2. Liberty-Eylau (11.5) - D1
3. Pleasant Grove (5.3)
4. New Boston (0.3)
5. Atlanta (-16.4)
6. Mount Vernon (-17.1)

[WOS87]

17-3A
The story so far:
Gilmer beat Chapel Hill by 38
Gilmer beat Spring Hill by 52
Gilmer beat Gladewater by 55
Gilmer beat Bullard by 71
Tatum beat Gladewater by 1
Tatum beat Chapel Hill by 7
Tatum beat Bullard by 28
Tatum beat Spring Hill by 33
Gladewater beat Spring Hill by 12
Gladewater beat Bullard by 36
Spring Hill beat Chapel Hill by 1
Chapel Hill beat Bullard by 62

Projected finish:
1. Gilmer (42.1) - D1
2. Tatum (5.4)
3. Gladewater (-2.3)
4. Tyler Chapel Hill (3.7)
5. Longview Spring Hill (-11.8)
6. Bullard (-37.0)

Chapel Hill needs to beat Gladewater by at least 7 pts to make the playoffs if Spring Hill beats Bullard (which they easily should). I have Chapel Hill as only a 6 pt favorite currently so I still have Gladewater as the 3rd playoff spot. The Gladewater vs Chapel Hill game will determine Gilmer going D1 or D2.


18-3A
The story so far:
Carthage beat Rusk by 15
Carthage beat Jasper by 24
Carthage beat Diboll by 29
Carthage beat Center by 35
Center beat Huntington by 54
Center beat Rusk by 4
Center beat Diboll by 45
Jasper beat Diboll by 14
Jasper beat Rusk by 24
Jasper beat Huntington by 35
Rusk beat Huntington by 42
Diboll beat Huntington by 16

Projected finish:
1. Carthage (27.6)
2. Center (12.1)
3. Jasper (7.4) – D1
4. Rusk (2.8)
5. Diboll (-15.0)
6. Huntington (-34.9)


19-3A
The story so far:
Mexia beat Robinson by 11
Mexia beat La Vega by 18
Mexia beat Connally by 29
Lorena beat Mexia by 7
Lorena beat Groesbeck by 14
Lorena beat Robinson by 14
La Vega beat Groesbeck by 25
La Vega beat Robinson by 8
La Vega beat Connally by 7
Connally beat Groesbeck by 7
Connally beat Lorena by 8
Robinson beat Groesbeck by 10

Circular games: Mexia beat La Vega, La Vega beat Connally, Connally beat Lorena, Lorena beat Mexia

Projected finish:
1. Lorena (4.8)
2. Mexia (13.0)
3. Waco La Vega (3.0) – D1
4. Waco Connally (-3.5)
5. Robinson (-3.5)
6. Groesbeck (-13.8)


20-3A
The story so far:
Palestine beat Fairfield by 3
Palestine beat Brownsboro by 16
Palestine beat Crockett by 19
Brownsboro beat Crockett by 1
Brownsboro beat Fairfield by 19
Brownsboro beat Westwood by 24
Athens beat Fairfield by 10
Athens beat Palestine by 15
Athens beat Westwood by 17
Crockett beat Athens by 9
Westwood beat Crockett by 13
Westwood beat Fairfield by 7

Circular games: Athens beat Westwood, Westwood beat Crockett, Crockett beat Athens

Projected finish:
1. Athens (5.7) – D1
2. Palestine (5.7)
3. Brownsboro (4.5)
4. Palestine Westwood (-5.3)
5. Crockett (-3.4)
6. Fairfield (-7.1)


21-3A
The story so far:
Silsbee beat Hamshire-Fannett by 47
Silsbee beat Orangefield by 36
Silsbee beat Bridge City by 7
Silsbee beat West Orange-Stark by 6
West Orange-Stark beat Hamshire-Fannett by 62
West Orange-Stark beat Hardin-Jefferson by 19
West Orange-Stark beat Bridge City by 14
Bridge City beat Hardin-Jefferson by 10
Bridge City beat Orangefield by 1
Hardin-Jefferson beat Hamshire-Fannett by 16
Hardin-Jefferson beat Orangefield by 7
Orangefield beat Hamshire-Fannett by 45

Projected finish:
1. Silsbee (20.3) - D1
2. West Orange-Stark (18.5)
3. Bridge City (5.0)
4. Hardin-Jefferson (-5.3)
5. Orangefield (-3.5)
6. Hamshire-Fannett (-35.0)


22-3A
The story so far:
Cleveland beat Tarkington by 45
Cleveland beat Shepherd by 34
Cleveland beat Huffman by 24
Cleveland beat Liberty by 22
Cleveland beat Coldspring by 2
Coldspring beat Tarkington by 42
Coldspring beat Shepherd by 37
Coldspring beat Splendora by 34
Coldspring beat Huffman by 28
Huffman beat Splendora by 20
Huffman beat Shepherd by 7
Shepherd beat Tarkington by 57
Shepherd beat Liberty by 14
Shepherd beat Splendora by 9
Liberty beat Tarkington by 8
Liberty beat Huffman by 5
Splendora beat Liberty by 1
Tarkington beat Splendora by 6

Circular games: Liberty beat Huffman, Huffman beat Splendora, Splendora beat Liberty

Projected finish:
1. Cleveland (24.2)
2. Coldspring (25.0)
3. Huffman (-0.5) – D1
4. Shepherd (0.8)
5. Liberty (-7.6)
6. Tarkington (-23.7)
7. Splendora (-14.8)


24-3A
The story so far:
Caldwell beat Taylor by 47
Caldwell beat Rudder by 36
Caldwell beat Rockdale by 21
Caldwell beat Navasota by 14
Caldwell beat Madisonville by 7
Navasota beat Taylor by 44
Navasota beat Rockdale by 28
Navasota beat Rudder by 27
Rockdale beat Rudder by 28
Rockdale beat Cameron by 20
Rockdale beat Madisonville by 2
Madisonville beat Rudder by 12
Madisonville beat Cameron by 6
Madisonville beat Taylor by 3
Cameron beat Taylor by 26
Cameron beat Rudder by 18
Cameron beat Navasota by 2
Taylor beat Rudder by 2

Projected finish:
1. Caldwell (21.3)
2. Navasota (14.4) - D1
3. Rockdale (4.0)
4. Madisonville (0.2)
5. Cameron Yoe (0.3)
6. Taylor (-19.8)
7. Bryan Rudder (-17.1)


25-3A
The story so far:
Sealy beat Columbus by 35
Sealy beat Smithville by 21
Sealy beat Giddings by 12
Sealy beat Bellville by 11
Giddings beat Smithville by 41
Giddings beat Bellville by 14
Giddings beat La Grange by 4
La Grange beat Columbus by 21
La Grange beat Bellville by 3
La Grange beat Smithville by 3
Bellville beat Columbus by 31
Smithville beat Columbus by 20

Projected finish:
1. Sealy (15.5) - D1
2. Giddings (14.3)
3. La Grange (1.5)
4. Bellville (2.5)
5. Smithville (-9.5)
6. Columbus (-24.3)


26-3A
The story so far:
Sweeny beat Brookshire by 5
Sweeny beat West Columbia by 6
Sweeny beat Needville by 22
Sweeny beat Stafford by 46
Brookshire beat Wharton by 14
Brookshire beat Stafford by 28
Brookshire beat West Columbia by 35
Needville beat Wharton by 5
Needville beat West Columbia by 19
Needville beat Stafford by 28
Wharton beat West Columbia by 7
Wharton beat Stafford by 6

Projected finish:
1. Sweeny (16.7)
2. Brookshire Royal (13.8)
3. Needville (3.3) - D1
4. Wharton (-4.5)
5. West Columbia (-9.5)
6. Stafford (-19.7)


27-3A
The story so far:
Luling beat Somerset by 1
Luling beat SA Sam Houston by 13
Luling beat Poteet by 24
Luling beat Marion by 44
SA Sam Houston beat La Vernia by 8
SA Sam Houston beat Poteet by 11
SA Sam Houston beat Marion by 39
La Vernia beat Somerset by 19
La Vernia beat Poteet by 24
La Vernia beat Marion by 42
Somerset beat Marion by 22
Somerset beat Poteet by 27

Projected finish:
1. Luling (11.7)
2. San Antonio Sam Houston (6.0) - D1
3. La Vernia (10.4)
4. Somerset (2.0)
5. Poteet (-14.0)
6. Marion (-29.2)


28-3A
The story so far:
Cuero beat Gonzales by 55
Cuero beat Palacios by 30
Cuero beat Goliad by 28
Cuero beat Yoakum by 3
Edna beat Gonzales by 40
Edna beat Palacios by 27
Edna beat Goliad by 18
Edna beat Yoakum by 6
Yoakum beat Gonzales by 39
Yoakum beat Palacios by 28
Palacios beat Goliad by 7
Goliad beat Gonzales by 6

Projected finish:
1. Cuero (20.4) – D1
2. Edna (14.1)
3. Yoakum (14.0)
4. Palacios (-10.4)
5. Goliad (-12.2)
6. Gonzales (-25.9)


29-3A
The story so far:
Hondo beat Pearsall by 8
Hondo beat Carrizo Springs by 29
Hondo beat Crystal City by 31
Hondo beat Lytle by 54
Pearsall beat Bandera by 3
Pearsall beat Devine by 3
Pearsall beat Carrizo Springs by 41
Pearsall beat Lytle by 46
Bandera beat Devine by 1
Bandera beat Hondo by 8
Bandera beat Carrizo Springs by 34
Bandera beat Crystal City by 40
Devine beat Hondo by 2
Devine beat Crystal City by 21
Devine beat Lytle by 48
Carrizo Springs beat Lytle by 8
Carrizo Springs beat Crystal City by 8
Crystal City beat Lytle by 2

Circular games: Hondo beat Pearsall, Pearsall beat Bandera, Pearsall AND Bandera beat Devine, Devine beat Hondo

Projected finish:
1. Pearsall (17.5)
2. Bandera (18.3) – D1
3. Devine (14.1)
4. Hondo (16.1)
5. Carrizo Springs (-16.9)
6. Crystal City (-19.1)
7. Lytle (-29.3)


31-3A
The story so far:
Ingleside beat Sinton by 7
Ingleside beat West Oso by 25
Ingleside beat Orange Grove by 28
Ingleside beat Aransas Pass by 37
Ingleside beat Falfurrias by 55
Sinton beat Robstown by 1
Sinton beat Mathis by 5
Sinton beat Orange Grove by 7
Sinton beat Aransas Pass by 35
Sinton beat Falfurrias by 37
Mathis beat Ingleside by 1
Mathis beat Robstown by 9
Mathis beat West Oso by 21
Mathis beat Orange Grove by 27
Mathis beat Aransas Pass by 44
Robstown beat West Oso by 6
Robstown beat Orange Grove by 21
Robstown beat Aransas Pass by 23
Robstown beat Falfurrias by 35
West Oso beat Orange Grove by 3
West Oso beat Aransas Pass by 20
West Oso beat Falfurrias by 40
Orange Grove beat Falfurrias by 41
Aransas Pass beat Falfurrias by 27

Projected finish:
1. Ingleside (20.5) – D1
2. Sinton (11.1)
3. Mathis (19.0)
4. Robstown (7.8)
5. Corpus Christi West Oso (0.0)
6. Orange Grove (-3.8)
7. Aransas Pass (-18.3)
8. Falfurrias (-36.3)


32-3A
The story so far:
Lyford beat Port Isabel by 1
Lyford beat Rio Hondo by 7
Lyford beat La Feria by 10
Lyford beat Hidalgo by 19
Lyford beat Zapata by 29
Lyford beat Progreso by 31
Zapata beat Rio Hondo by 6
Zapata beat Port Isabel by 7
Zapata beat Raymondville by 10
Zapata beat La Feria by 14
Zapata beat Progreso by 18
Rio Hondo beat Hidalgo by 6
Rio Hondo beat Port Isabel by 10
Rio Hondo beat Raymondville by 19
Rio Hondo beat Progreso by 20
Hidalgo beat Port Isabel by 3
Hidalgo beat Progreso by 42
Port Isabel beat La Feria by 47
Port Isabel beat Raymondville by 23
La Feria beat Raymondville by 1
La Feria beat Progreso by 1
La Feria beat Hidalgo by 8
Raymondville beat Hidalgo by 3
Raymondville beat Progreso by 16

Circular games: Hidalgo beat Port Isabel, Port Isabel beat La Feria, La Feria beat Raymondville, Raymondville beat Hidalgo

Projected finish:
1. Lyford (14.9)
2. Zapata (3.6) - D1
3. Rio Hondo (7.4)
4. Port Isabel (9.8)
5. La Feria (-9.8)
6. Hidalgo (0.8)
8. Progreso (-19.7)

[WOS87]

Here are the last WOS87 PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS for the year as we'll all know what they will be for sure next week

Feel free to disagree but I determined all of this solely on logic and numbers so there is little or none of my own personal opinion included in these. I will be happy to explain my reasoning if it is not clear why certain district projections ended up the way they did.

DIVISION I

REGION I
Lubbock Estacado vs Abilene Wylie
Andrews vs Fabens
Burkburnett vs BYE
Gatesville vs Burnet

REGION II
Prosper vs Paris North Lamar
Ft Worth Castleberry vs Alvarado
Lucas Lovejoy vs Wills Point
BYE vs Liberty-Eylau

REGION III
Gilmer vs Jasper
Waco La Vega vs Athens
Silsbee vs Huffman Hargrave
BYE vs Navasota

REGION IV
Sealy vs Needville
San Antonio Sam Houston vs Cuero
Bandera vs BYE
Ingleside vs Zapata



DIVISION II

REGION I
(1C) Borger vs (2R) Graham
(3C) Monahans vs (4R) Pecos
(5C) Bridgeport vs BYE
(7C) China Spring vs (8R) Canyon Lake
(1R) Dalhart vs (2C) Brownwood
(3R) Seminole vs (4C) Fort Stockton
(5R) Iowa Park vs BYE
(7R) Glen Rose vs (8C) Wimberley

REGION II
(9C) Argyle vs (10R) Van Alstyne
(11C) Lake Worth vs (12R) Ferris
(13C) Farmersville vs (14R) Eustace
BYE vs (16R) Pleasant Grove
(9R) Celina vs (10C) Paris
(11R) Dallas Madison vs (12C) Kennedale
(13R) Quinlan Ford vs (14C) Van
BYE vs (16C) Pittsburg

REGION III
(17C) Tatum vs (18R) Center
(19C) Lorena vs (20R) Brownsboro
(21C) West Orange-Stark vs (22R) Coldspring
BYE vs (24R) Rockdale
(17R) Gladewater vs (18C) Carthage
(19R) Mexia vs (20C) Palestine
(21R) Bridge City vs (22C) Cleveland
BYE vs (24C) Caldwell

REGION IV
(25C) Giddings vs (26R) Brookshire Royal
(27C) Luling vs (28R) Yoakum
(29C) Pearsall vs BYE
(31C) Sinton vs (32R) Rio Hondo
(25R) La Grange vs (26C) Sweeny
(27R) La Vernia vs (28C) Edna
(29R) Devine vs BYE
(31R) Mathis vs (32C) Lyford

[WOS87]

Week 9 overviews and projections are now completed. There are still 3 games I don't have results for yet (the Tornillo vs Clint game from Friday, and two games to be played today) and I'll add those numbers in when I get them. I doubt any of those games will make a huge impact on those respective districts though unless Sam Houston gets upset.

[LE Dad]

Great job WOS87. It will take a miracle for your District16 projection not to come true. It could, but it is not likely. Looking forward to round 2.

[BRfalconfan]

Great job just wondering if u could take a look at d 26 and tell me what would happen if royal beats needville and wharton was to beat sweeny

[WOS87]

Nothing would change.

[WOS87]

Nothing would change.

That would put Brookshire tied with Sweeny at 4-1 but Sweeny won the head-to-head

and would put Needville tied with Wharton at 3-2 with Needville winning the head-to-head

[WOS87]

Clint 55
Tornillo 12
FINAL

Castleberry 41
Ranchview 34
FINAL

I've crunched those two games into the numbers above and as I predicted it didn't change anything

I'm only missing the SA Sam Houston vs Poteet game which is being played currently

[tex_male]

In District 3 the tie breacker is 14 points. Just as they used last year with the 3 way tie for 1st.

Don't know what they will do with the two 16 point games and one 14 point game.

This Friday will break one of the 3 ties or create a new one for 1st.

[WOS87]

Originally posted by tex_male
In District 3 the tie breacker is 14 points. Just as they used last year with the 3 way tie for 1st.

Don't know what they will do with the two 16 point games and one 14 point game.

This Friday will break one of the 3 ties or create a new one for 1st.

I'm predicting a 3-way tie AFTER next week... Not sure what they'll do if the max is 14 points and all 3 games are 14 game margins of victory or more.

[tex_male]

I believe they will go to the coin toss. Which ever two matches moves on.

[WOS87]

San Antonio Sam Houston 31
Poteet 20
FINAL

That closes out Week 9 for Class 3A

[Pinerider]

3-3A is going with the coin flip if everything holds true

[Phil C]

I agree with WOS87's projections in District 31AAA. Ingleside plays Robstown and I think they will win a close run. Ironically in this game is that most likely the winner will go to the playoffs and the loser stays home. That is because I think there is no way that Mathis will lose to Falfurrias and Sinton should win over West Oso but that one will be a struggle. Thank goodness Sinton is at home that night.

[jockcity33]

In Dist. 2 how did you determine Graham to be over Brownwood, in the final standings, assuming they both win this week?

[WOS87]

Originally posted by jockcity33
In Dist. 2 how did you determine Graham to be over Brownwood, in the final standings, assuming they both win this week?

If Brownwood and Graham both win there will be a 3-way tie for first.

Wylie beat Brownwood by 20
Brownwood beat Graham by 1
Graham beat Wylie by 3

It really depends on the district tiebreak method.

Going purely by point differential, Wylie comes out 1st, Graham 2nd and Brownwood 3rd (which is the generic method I use for tiebreaks until I find out a different method is being used)

Some districts take out the D1 team and seed the D2 teams in their head-to-head matchup, in which case Brownwood would be the D2 top seed

[footballguru]

In district 27 with La Vernia and Luling, Wouldn't Lavernia go as the number one seed if they beat Luling this friday?

[WOS87]

Originally posted by footballguru
In district 27 with La Vernia and Luling, Wouldn't Lavernia go as the number one seed if they beat Luling this friday?


Luling beat Sam Houston by 13
Sam Houston beat La Vernia by 8

La Vernia would have to beat Luling by at least 11 points to win the point differential

[NastySlot]

if wimberley wins this weekend....against fred....are they district champs and in..........if they lose will they be left out.....lose...burnet/cl and lh in right?

if they win ...wim/cl/burnet in

[WOS87]

Originally posted by NastySlot
if wimberley wins this weekend....against fred....are they district champs and in..........if they lose will they be left out.....lose...burnet/cl and lh in right?

if they win ...wim/cl/burnet in

I'm pretty sure Wimberley is in no matter what. If Wimberley loses and LH wins that would cause a 3-way tie for 2nd either between Wimberley, LH and Burnet or Wimberley, LH and Canyon Lake

In the case of Wimberley, LH and Burnet
Wimberley beat Burnet by 7
Burnet beat LH by 42
LH beat Wimberley by 2

Wimberley has a positive point differential meaning they would definitely be in

In the case of Wimberley, LH and Canyon Lake
Wimberley beat Canyon Lake by 23
Canyon Lake beat LH by 7
LH beat Wimberley by 2

Again Wimberley has a positive point differential meaning they would definitely be in

The Austin Statesman says that they've clinched already as well...

Click Here --->LINK (http://www.statesman.com/search/content/sports/stories/highschool/2009/10/31/1031wimberley.html?cxntlid=inform_artr)

[clhsdad]

My understanding and several posters have confirmed that Wimberely, Burnet and Canyon Lake or in the playoffs. Fridays results will only determine the final seeding.

[LH Panther Mom]

Originally posted by WOS87
I'm pretty sure Wimberley is in no matter what. If Wimberley loses and LH wins that would cause a 3-way tie for 2nd either between Wimberley, LH and Burnet or Wimberley, LH and Canyon Lake

In the case of Wimberley, LH and Burnet
Wimberley beat Burnet by 7
Burnet beat LH by 42
LH beat Wimberley by 2

Wimberley has a positive point differential meaning they would definitely be in

In the case of Wimberley, LH and Canyon Lake
Wimberley beat Canyon Lake by 23
Canyon Lake beat LH by 7
LH beat Wimberley by 2

Again Wimberley has a positive point differential meaning they would definitely be in

The Austin Statesman says that they've clinched already as well...

Click Here --->LINK (http://www.statesman.com/search/content/sports/stories/highschool/2009/10/31/1031wimberley.html?cxntlid=inform_artr)
17 point cap on positive points and no minuses - any way you slice it, we've got +2 and any scenario I've seen or imagined keeps us out. :( Unless somebody maybe has an ineligible player :devil: or forfeits. :p ;)



Win or stay home. :helpme:

[PHS Wildcats]

Athens is in and will go Div. 1. Brownsboro is in and will go Div. 2.

If Palestine beats Westwood then Palestine is in. If Westwood beats Palestine and Brownsboro beats Athens then Westwood is in.

If Athens beats Brownsboro and Westwood has to win by 17 over Palestine to get in.

If Athens wins Athens is District Champion. If Brownsboro wins and Westwood wins Brownsboro is District Champion.

If Palestine wins and Brownsboro wins Palestine is District Champion.

If Athens wins it will be the first out right District Championship since 1992 in football.


Paul Essary
Athens H.S.

[BEAST]

Originally posted by WOS87
If Brownwood and Graham both win there will be a 3-way tie for first.

Wylie beat Brownwood by 20
Brownwood beat Graham by 1
Graham beat Wylie by 3

It really depends on the district tiebreak method.

Going purely by point differential, Wylie comes out 1st, Graham 2nd and Brownwood 3rd (which is the generic method I use for tiebreaks until I find out a different method is being used)

Some districts take out the D1 team and seed the D2 teams in their head-to-head matchup, in which case Brownwood would be the D2 top seed

That is how our district does it. D1 comes out and that gives Brownwood the #1 D2 spot since we beat Graham.




BEAST

[LE Dad]

Thanks for all your hard work WOS87 :clap: :clap: It will all be decided tonight :D

Good luck to all :thumbsup: