District Race Overview and Playoff Projections after Week 7

[WOS87]

The projected finishes are primarily based on who's beaten who so far head-to-head. In the case of districts where there are teams that don't have an obvious direct connection of wins and losses to rank them, I used the district power rating which is calculated using the same algorithm I used in my statewide 3A ratings the past 3 years

The number in parentheses is the power rating calculated solely on district games played. All power ratings combined for a district should add up to zero

The difference between power ratings for two teams can be extrapolated as a predicted margin of victory or loss based on prior district game results.

1-3A
The story so far:
Borger beat Levelland by 36
Borger beat Dalhart by 3
Dalhart beat Lubbock Cooper by 21
Lubbock Cooper beat Perryton by 1
Perryton beat Lubbock Estacado by 12
Lubbock Estacado beat Levelland by 31

Projected finish:
1. Borger (12.8) - D1
2. Dalhart (15.2)
3. Lubbock Cooper (-0.5)
4. Perryton (3.8)
5. Lubbock Estacado (-2.8)
6. Levelland (-28.5)


2-3A
The story so far:
Abilene Wylie beat Brownwood by 20
Abilene Wylie beat Snyder by 17
Graham beat Sweetwater by 31
Graham beat Snyder by 14
Brownwood beat Breckenridge by 38
Sweetwater beat Breckenridge by 27

Projected finish:
1. Abilene Wylie (21.8) - D1
2. Graham (19.8)
3. Snyder (5.3)
4. Brownwood (1.3)
5. Sweetwater (-10.8)
6. Breckenridge (-37.3)


3-3A
The story so far:
Monahans beat Andrews by 39
Monahans beat Seminole by 28
Midland Greenwood beat Brownfield by 20
Midland Greenwood beat Seminole by 14
Andrews beat Lamesa by 2
Lamesa beat Brownfield by 2

Projected finish:
1. Monahans (26.8)
2. Midland Greenwood (9.8)
3. Seminole (-2.8) - D1
4. Andrews (-10.8)
5. Lamesa (-11.3)
6. Brownfield (-11.8)


4-3A
The story so far:
Fort Stockton beat Tornillo by 63
Fort Stockton beat Pecos by 21
Pecos beat Fabens by 38
Fabens beat Clint by 6
Clint beat Anthony by 19
Anthony beat Tornillo by 1

Projected finish:
1. Fort Stockton (43.2)
2. Pecos (25.8)
3. Fabens (-8.5) - D1
4. Clint (-10.8)
5. Anthony (-26.2)
6. Tornillo (-23.5)


5-3A
The story so far:
Bridgeport beat Burkburnett by 27
Bridgeport beat Iowa Park by 7
Burkburnett beat Vernon by 34
Iowa Park beat Decatur by 6
Vernon beat WF Hirschi by 24
Decatur beat WF Hirschi by 11

Projected finish:
1. Bridgeport (27.1)
2. Burkburnett (10.3) - D1
3. Iowa Park (9.9)
4. Decatur (-6.3)
5. Vernon (-13.6)
6. Wichita Falls Hirschi (-27.4)


7-3A
The story so far:
Glen Rose beat Whitney by 37
Glen Rose beat West by 17
West beat China Spring by 4
Gatesville beat Hillsboro by 39
Gatesville beat Whitney by 10
China Spring beat Hillsboro by 31

Projected finish:
1. Glen Rose (26.8)
2. West (7.5)
3. Gatesville (4.5) - D1
4. China Spring (1.2)
5. Whitney (-7.8)
6. Hillsboro (-32.2)


8-3A
The story so far:
Wimberley beat Burnet by 7
Wimberley beat Canyon Lake by 23
Wimberley beat Ingram Moore by 59
Burnet beat Liberty Hill by 42
Burnet beat Llano by 14
Burnet beat Fredericksburg by 6
Llano beat Fredericksburg by 21
Llano beat Ingram Moore by 62
Canyon Lake beat Ingram Moore by 35
Canyon Lake beat Liberty Hill by 7
Liberty Hill beat Fredericksburg by 20
Liberty Hill beat Ingram Moore by 76

Projected finish:
1. Wimberley (20.3)
2. Burnet (22.7) - D1
3. Llano (13.5)
4. Canyon Lake (-1.9)
5. Liberty Hill (4.1)
6. Fredericksburg (-2.2)
7. Ingram Moore (-49.0)


9-3A
The story so far:
Argyle beat Whitesboro by 29
Argyle beat Prosper by 3
Prosper beat Celina by 24
Celina beat Sanger by 34
Sanger beat Gainesville by 21
Gainesville beat Whitesboro by 3

Projected finish:
1. Argyle (19.7)
2. Prosper (26.0) - D1
3. Celina (11.3)
4. Sanger (-13.3)
5. Gainesville (-25.0)
6. Whitesboro (-18.7)


10-3A
The story so far:
Paris beat Commerce by 63
Paris beat North Lamar by 13
North Lamar beat Anna by 28
Commerce beat Bonham by 36
Van Alstyne beat Anna by 21
Van Alstyne beat Bonham by 8

Projected finish:
1. Paris (45.3)
2. Paris North Lamar (20.4) - D1
3. Commerce (-5.9)
4. Van Alstyne (-10.3)
5. Anna (-19.4)
6. Bonham (-30.1)


11-3A
The story so far:
Lake Worth beat Carter-Riverside by 24
Lake Worth beat Castleberry by 28
Lake Worth beat Roosevelt by 48
Madison beat Carter-Riverside by 16
Madison beat Ranchview by 32
Madison beat Roosevelt by 34
Castleberry beat Diamond Hill by 19
Castleberry beat Roosevelt by 58
Carter-Riverside beat Ranchview by 3
Carter-Riverside beat Diamond Hill by 36
Ranchview beat Diamond Hill by 25
Diamond Hill beat Roosevelt by 2

Projected finish:
1. Lake Worth (29.9)
2. Dallas Madison (19.8)
3. Fort Worth Castleberry (10.0) - D1
4. FW Carter-Riverside (5.9)
5. Carrollton Ranchview (-2.3)
6. FW Diamond Hill-Jarvis (-22.7)
7. Dallas Roosevelt (-26.3)


12-3A
The story so far:
Kennedale beat Alvarado by 16
Kennedale beat Venus by 65
Alvarado beat Kaufman by 13
Kaufman beat Crandall by 7
Crandall beat Ferris by 3
Ferris beat Venus by 68

Projected finish
1. Kennedale (20.3)
2. Alvarado (11.3) - D1
3. Kaufman (5.3)
4. Crandall (5.3)
5. Ferris (9.3)
6. Venus (-51.7)


13-3A
The story so far:
Farmersville beat Rains by 24
Farmersville beat Lovejoy by 9
Lovejoy beat Quinlan by 23
Community beat Rains by 24
Community beat Princeton by 16
Quinlan beat Princeton by 30

Projected finish:
1. Farmersville (17.3)
2. Lucas Lovejoy (16.0) - D1
3. Nevada Community (2.0)
4. Quinlan Ford (0.7)
5. Emory Rains (-14.3)
6. Princeton (-21.7)


14-3A
The story so far:
Eustace beat Canton by 15
Eustace beat Mineola by 30
Wills Point beat Canton by 10
Wills Point beat Kemp by 33
Van beat Kemp by 3
Van beat Mineola by 7

Projected finish:
1. Eustace (17.5)
2. Wills Point (16.5) - D1
3. Canton (4.5)
4. Van (-9.5)
5. Kemp (-14.5)
6. Mineola (-14.5)


16-3A
The story so far:
Liberty-Eylau beat Pleasant Grove by 20
Liberty-Eylau beat Mount Vernon by 40
Pittsburg beat New Boston by 11
Pittsburg beat Atlanta by 25
Pleasant Grove beat Atlanta by 28
New Boston beat Mount Vernon by 20

Projected finish:
1. Liberty-Eylau (24.0) - D1
2. Pittsburg (8.0)
3. Pleasant Grove (6.3)
4. New Boston (-0.7)
5. Mount Vernon (-18.3)
6. Atlanta (-19.3)


17-3A
The story so far:
Gilmer beat Chapel Hill by 38
Gilmer beat Bullard by 71
Tatum beat Gladewater by 1
Tatum beat Bullard by 28
Gladewater beat Spring Hill by 12
Spring Hill beat Chapel Hill by 1

Projected finish:
1. Gilmer (37.25) - D1
2. Tatum (0.6)
3. Gladewater (2.8)
4. Longview Spring Hill (-6.1)
5. Tyler Chapel Hill (-3.9)
6. Bullard (-30.6)


18-3A
The story so far:
Carthage beat Rusk by 15
Carthage beat Center by 35
Rusk beat Huntington by 42
Center beat Diboll by 45
Jasper beat Diboll by 14
Jasper beat Huntington by 35

Projected finish:
1. Carthage (38.5) - D1
2. Rusk (16.2)
3. Center (10.8)
4. Jasper (-5.5)
5. Diboll (-26.8)
6. Huntington (-33.2)


19-3A
The story so far:
Mexia beat Robinson by 11
Mexia beat La Vega by 18
La Vega beat Connally by 7
Robinson beat Groesbeck by 10
Connally beat Lorena by 8
Lorena beat Groesbeck by 14

Projected finish:
1. Mexia (15.8)
2. Waco La Vega (2.2)
3. Robinson (0.5) - D1
4. Waco Connally (-0.5)
5. Lorena (-4.2)
6. Groesbeck (-13.8)


20-3A
The story so far:
Brownsboro beat Fairfield by 19
Brownsboro beat Westwood by 24
Palestine beat Fairfield by 3
Palestine beat Crockett by 19
Crockett beat Athens by 9
Athens beat Westwood by 17

Projected finish:
1. Brownsboro (13.8)
2. Palestine (10.1) - D1
3. Fairfield (0.9)
4. Crockett (-2.8)
5. Athens (-5.6)
6. Palestine Westwood (-16.4)


21-3A
The story so far:
Silsbee beat Bridge City by 7
Silsbee beat West Orange-Stark by 6
West Orange-Stark beat Hamshire-Fannett by 62
Bridge City beat Hardin-Jefferson by 10
Hardin-Jefferson beat Orangefield by 7
Orangefield beat Hamshire-Fannett by 45

Projected finish:
1. Silsbee (20.3) - D1
2. West Orange-Stark (14.1)
3. Bridge City (13.4)
4. Hardin-Jefferson (3.6)
5. Orangefield (-3.3)
6. Hamshire-Fannett (-48.1)


22-3A
The story so far:
Coldspring beat Tarkington by 42
Coldspring beat Shepherd by 37
Coldspring beat Huffman by 28
Cleveland beat Shepherd by 34
Cleveland beat Huffman by 24
Cleveland beat Liberty by 22
Shepherd beat Tarkington by 57
Shepherd beat Splendora by 9
Liberty beat Huffman by 5
Huffman beat Splendora by 20
Splendora beat Liberty by 1
Tarkington beat Splendora by 6

This is the first of only 2 districts that has a circular series of games (Liberty beat Huffman, Huffman beat Splendora, Splendora beat Liberty).

Projected finish:
1. Coldspring (26.6)
2. Cleveland (25.6) - D1
3. Shepherd (0.9)
4. Huffman (-1.1)
5. Liberty (-3.2)
6. Tarkington (-27.2)
7. Splendora (-16.1)


24-3A
The story so far:
Caldwell beat Rudder by 36
Caldwell beat Navasota by 14
Caldwell beat Madisonville by 7
Navasota beat Rockdale by 28
Navasota beat Rudder by 27
Rockdale beat Rudder by 28
Rockdale beat Cameron by 20
Rockdale beat Madisonville by 2
Madisonville beat Cameron by 6
Madisonville beat Taylor by 3
Cameron beat Taylor by 26
Taylor beat Rudder by 2

Projected finish:
1. Caldwell (18.8)
2. Navasota (15.6) - D1
3. Rockdale (4.5)
4. Madisonville (1.1)
5. Cameron Yoe (-3.3)
6. Taylor (-15.5)
7. Bryan Rudder (-17.4)


25-3A
The story so far:
Sealy beat Columbus by 35
Sealy beat Giddings by 12
Giddings beat Bellville by 14
La Grange beat Bellville by 3
La Grange beat Smithville by 3
Smithville beat Columbus by 20

Projected finish:
1. Sealy (17.6) - D1
2. Giddings (7.4)
3. La Grange (0.1)
4. Smithville (-1.1)
5. Bellville (-4.8)
6. Columbus (-19.3)


26-3A
The story so far:
Sweeny beat West Columbia by 6
Sweeny beat Stafford by 46
Needville beat Wharton by 5
Needville beat West Columbia by 19
Brookshire beat Wharton by 14
Brookshire beat Stafford by 28

Projected finish:
1. Sweeny (11.5)
2. Needville (11.2) - D1
3. Brookshire Royal (6.8)
4. Wharton (-0.5)
5. West Columbia (-1.2)
6. Stafford (-27.8)


27-3A
The story so far:
Luling beat SA Sam Houston by 13
Luling beat Poteet by 24
La Vernia beat Somerset by 19
La Vernia beat Poteet by 24
SA Sam Houston beat Marion by 39
Somerset beat Marion by 22

Projected finish:
1. Luling (16.8)
2. La Vernia (13.1)
3. San Antonio Sam Houston (5.6) - D1
4. Somerset (-7.8)
5. Poteet (-9.1)
6. Marion (-31.6)


28-3A
The story so far:
Edna beat Gonzales by 40
Edna beat Yoakum by 6
Cuero beat Palacios by 30
Cuero beat Yoakum by 3
Palacios beat Goliad by 7
Goliad beat Gonzales by 6

Projected finish:
1. Edna (18.8)
2. Cuero (17.8) - D1
3. Yoakum (13.8)
4. Palacios (-11.2)
5. Goliad (-17.2)
6. Gonzales (-22.2)


29-3A
The story so far:
Hondo beat Pearsall by 8
Hondo beat Carrizo Springs by 29
Hondo beat Crystal City by 31
Hondo beat Lytle by 54
Pearsall beat Bandera by 3
Pearsall beat Devine by 3
Bandera beat Devine by 1
Bandera beat Carrizo Springs by 34
Bandera beat Crystal City by 40
Devine beat Crystal City by 21
Carrizo Springs beat Lytle by 8
Crystal City beat Lytle by 2

Projected finish:
1. Hondo (18.6)
2. Pearsall (13.5)
3. Bandera (15.0) - D1
4. Devine (9.0)
5. Carrizo Springs (-16.0)
6. Crystal City (-18.5)
7. Lytle (-26.6)


31-3A
The story so far:
Sinton beat Robstown by 1
Sinton beat Mathis by 5
Sinton beat Orange Grove by 7
Sinton beat Aransas Pass by 35
Mathis beat Ingleside by 1
Mathis beat West Oso by 21
Mathis beat Aransas Pass by 44
Ingleside beat West Oso by 25
Ingleside beat Orange Grove by 28
Ingleside beat Falfurrias by 55
Robstown beat West Oso by 6
Robstown beat Orange Grove by 21
Robstown beat Aransas Pass by 23
Orange Grove beat Falfurrias by 41
West Oso beat Falfurrias by 40
Aransas Pass beat Falfurrias by 27

Sinton/Ingleside, Robstown/Mathis and Robstown/ingleside are the likely major games left to determine this district. Could easily end up in a 3 or 4-way tie from what I see as I predict Ingleside to win out

Projected finish:
1. Sinton (14.0)
2. Mathis (19.0)
3. Ingleside (20.2) - D1
4. Robstown (10.2)
5. Corpus Christi West Oso (-1.0)
6. Orange Grove (-3.0)
7. Aransas Pass (-18.3)
8. Falfurrias (-41.2)


32-3A
The story so far:
Lyford beat Port Isabel by 1
Lyford beat La Feria by 10
Lyford beat Zapata by 29
Lyford beat Progreso by 31
Rio Hondo beat Hidalgo by 6
Rio Hondo beat Port Isabel by 10
Rio Hondo beat Progreso by 20
Hidalgo beat Port Isabel by 3
Hidalgo beat Progreso by 42
Port Isabel beat La Feria by 47
Zapata beat Rio Hondo by 6
Zapata beat Raymondville by 10
Zapata beat La Feria by 14
La Feria beat Raymondville by 1
Raymondville beat Hidalgo by 3
Raymondville beat Progreso by 16

2nd set of circular games (Hidalgo beat Port Isabel, Port Isabel beat La Feria, La Feria beat Raymondville, Raymondville beat Hidalgo)

This was by far the most difficult district to sort out!

Projected finish:
1. Lyford (12.3)
2. Rio Hondo (6.9)
3. Hidalgo (7.1) - D1
4. Port Isabel (11.7)
5. Zapata (0.8)
6. La Feria (-12.4)
7. Raymondville (-4.6)
8. Progreso (-21.8)

[WOS87]

I'll add in the subsequent districts as I finish them. They're going pretty quickly actually.

The projected finishes are based on who's beaten who so far head-to-head. If there are teams that don't have a direct connection and have the same records then I use the district power rating which is the number in parentheses.

[WOS87]

Here are the first (meaning VERY preliminary) WOS87 PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS for the year

Feel free to disagree but I determined all of this solely on logic and numbers so there is little or none of my own personal opinion included in these. I will be happy to explain my reasoning if it is not clear why certain district projections ended up the way they did.

DIVISION I

REGION I
Borger vs Abilene Wylie
Seminole vs Fabens
Burkburnett vs BYE
Gatesville vs Burnet

REGION II
Prosper vs Paris North Lamar
FW Castleberry vs Alvarado
Lucas Lovejoy vs Wills Point
BYE vs Liberty-Eylau

REGION III
Gilmer vs Carthage
Robinson vs Palestine
Silsbee vs Cleveland
BYE vs Navasota

REGION IV
Sealy vs Needville
San Antonio Sam Houston vs Cuero
Bandera vs BYE
Ingleside vs Hidalgo

DIVISION II

REGION I
(1C) Dalhart vs (2R) Snyder
(3C) Monahans vs (4R) Pecos
(5C) Bridgeport vs BYE
(7C) Glen Rose vs (8R) Llano
(1R) Lubbock Cooper vs (2C) Graham
(3R) Midland Greenwood vs (4C) Fort Stockton
(5R) Iowa Park vs BYE
(7R) West vs (8C) Wimberley

REGION II
(9C) Argyle vs (10R) Commerce
(11C) Lake Worth vs (12R) Kaufman
(13C) Farmersville vs (14R) Canton
BYE vs (16R) Pleasant Grove
(9R) Celina vs (10C) Paris
(11R) Dallas Madison vs (12C) Kennedale
(13R) Nevada Community vs (14C) Eustace
BYE vs (16C) Pittsburg

REGION III
(17C) Tatum vs (18R) Center
(19C) Mexia vs (20R) Fairfield
(21C) West Orange-Stark vs (22R) Shepherd
BYE vs (24R) Rockdale
(17R) Gladewater vs (18C) Rusk
(19R) Waco La Vega vs (20C) Brownsboro
(21R) Bridge City vs (22C) Coldspring
BYE vs (24C) Caldwell

REGION IV
(25C) Giddings vs (26R) Brookshire Royal
(27C) Luling vs (28R) Yoakum
(29C) Hondo vs BYE
(31C) Sinton vs (32R) Rio Hondo
(25R) La Grange vs (26C) Sweeny
(27R) La Vernia vs (28C) Edna
(29R) Pearsall vs BYE
(31R) Mathis vs (32C) Lyford

[WOS87]

Regions I, II and III are now complete

I'm starting on Region IV now...

Can someone send me the San Antonio Sam Houston vs Marion score when it becomes available tonight so I can include it? They should be playing right now actually.

[Bullaholic]

Impeccable work as usual, WOS87. This is great. Thanks.

[LE Dad]

Wow!! :clap: :clap: Looks great :D Thanks WOS87:)

[hsfootballfan]

SA Sam Houston 39
Marion 0
Final

[WOS87]

Originally posted by hsfootballfan
SA Sam Houston 39
Marion 0
Final

Thanks! I added it in

[trojandad]

fantastic work.....

something interesting on 22 3a, should huffman sneak in as the third team, coldspring wins over cleveland and 21 3a stays as you expect, that would have cleveland playing wo-s in the first round.....i'd pay to see that one....

[WOS87]

Statewide projections are now complete!! It's been quite a while since I've hit the max number of characters allowed on a post. I had to prune off a few words here and there to make it all fit.

Please let me know if you notice an error in margins of victory listed and I will correct them.

[SHSBulldog00]

Great Job WOS87. You are incredible.:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:

[ProudHornetMom]

Once again WOS87...thank you.:clap:

[GiddingsFan]

Looks great. Can't wait to see how this all pans out in District 25.

[BRfalconfan]

Originally posted by WOS87
REGION IV
(25C) Giddings vs (26R) Brookshire Royal


i wouldnt mind seeing this game could be worth the money

[1st and goal]

3A enrollment numbers on UIL website just in case anyone is interested...

http://www.uil.utexas.edu/2008align/pdf/3A_fb_enroll.pdf


Great job WOS 87, appreciate the hard work. Thank you.

[tiger eye]

Very good effort.
thanks for all your time and work !

[Spread It Out]

:clap: :clap: Thanks WOS87! Your work is always amazing and thank you for doing such a fine job all the time!

[dirtydan]

wos87 i like your projections for 17 & 18. if gilmer have to go D1, then we want to see carthage at D1., or both at D2. the juggernaut just keeps on rolling. just can't wait for those bulldogs.

[Pawdaddy]

Originally posted by dirtydan
wos87 i like your projections for 17 & 18. if gilmer have to go D1, then we want to see carthage at D1., or both at D2. the juggernaut just keeps on rolling. just can't wait for those bulldogs.
This week will tell the tale when Carthage visits Jasper. I cannot vision right now how Jasper will be held out of the playoffs. They are much better than when they met Gilmer at SFA in Week 0. In Gilmer's district, Chapel Hill could still get in if they win out, knocking Tatum out of the playoffs, assuming Gilmer beats Tatum in week 10. We may still see the first round with Gilmer/Carthage squaring off, but in D2.

[cntdwn]

Originally posted by WOS87
The projected finishes are primarily based on who's beaten who so far head-to-head. In the case of districts where there are teams that don't have an obvious direct connection of wins and losses to rank them, I used the district power rating which is calculated using the same algorithm I used in my statewide 3A ratings the past 3 years

The number in parentheses is the power rating calculated solely on district games played. All power ratings combined for a district should add up to zero

The difference between power ratings for two teams can be extrapolated as a predicted margin of victory or loss based on prior district game results.

24-3A
Projected finish:
1. Caldwell (18.8)
2. Navasota (15.6) - D1
3. Rockdale (4.5)
4. Madisonville (1.1)
5. Cameron Yoe (-3.3)
6. Taylor (-15.5)
7. Bryan Rudder (-17.4)

Oh Lord, this is sure to stir up a Hornet's nest for sure!

[44INAROW]

Originally posted by cntdwn
Oh Lord, this is sure to stir up a Hornet's nest for sure!

why is that?

[WOS87]

Originally posted by Pawdaddy
This week will tell the tale when Carthage visits Jasper. I cannot vision right now how Jasper will be held out of the playoffs. They are much better than when they met Gilmer at SFA in Week 0. In Gilmer's district, Chapel Hill could still get in if they win out, knocking Tatum out of the playoffs, assuming Gilmer beats Tatum in week 10. We may still see the first round with Gilmer/Carthage squaring off, but in D2.

I will be shocked as well if Jasper doesn't make the playoffs but I had to be consistent in my projections and keep my personal bias out of it. Center played Diboll much tougher than Jasper, and Rusk played Carthage quite close in addition to beating Huntington worse than Jasper which is why they both ended up ahead. This week should tell the tale.

[SHSBulldog00]

Originally posted by WOS87
I will be shocked as well if Jasper doesn't make the playoffs but I had to be consistent in my projections and keep my personal bias out of it. Center played Diboll much tougher than Jasper, and Rusk played Carthage quite close in addition to beating Huntington worse than Jasper which is why they both ended up ahead. This week should tell the tale.

After this week the numbers will change dramatically.

[Cowboy_Up]

The story so far:
Edna beat Gonzales by 40
Edna beat Yoakum by 6
Cuero beat Palacios by 30
Cuero beat Yoakum by 3
Palacios beat Goliad by 7
Goliad beat Gonzales by 6

Judging solely on the past 2 weeks, I have Edna over Cuero by 1 point

Projected finish:
1. Edna (18.8)
2. Cuero (17.8) - D1
3. Yoakum (13.8)
4. Palacios (-11.2)
5. Goliad (-17.2)
6. Gonzales (-22.2)


I understand you want to try and use logic, but why the disclaimer? I'm not very smart but I can read and I can see your using the last 2 games. If you want to rank Cuero ahead, go on and do it. Or use the logic, but why justify? I'm not seeing you do that with every other district.

[Move The Chains]

Originally posted by Cowboy_Up
The story so far:
Edna beat Gonzales by 40
Edna beat Yoakum by 6
Cuero beat Palacios by 30
Cuero beat Yoakum by 3
Palacios beat Goliad by 7
Goliad beat Gonzales by 6

Judging solely on the past 2 weeks, I have Edna over Cuero by 1 point

Projected finish:
1. Edna (18.8)
2. Cuero (17.8) - D1
3. Yoakum (13.8)
4. Palacios (-11.2)
5. Goliad (-17.2)
6. Gonzales (-22.2)


I understand you want to try and use logic, but why the disclaimer? I'm not very smart but I can read and I can see your using the last 2 games. If you want to rank Cuero ahead, go on and do it. Or use the logic, but why justify? I'm not seeing you do that with every other district. Maybe because it's going to shock everyone outside of, well, you.


So, he put a little disclaimer so all the Cuero guys/gals wouldn't ask... only to have the lone Edna dude ask.

[Cowboy_Up]

Originally posted by Move The Chains
Maybe because it's going to shock everyone outside of, well, you.


So, he put a little disclaimer so all the Cuero guys/gals wouldn't ask... only to have the lone Edna dude ask.

The Cuero peeps I know can read also.
As far as being the lone Edna dude, well if that's the criteria then what even bother with the exercise? I still don't get why one would go thru all the trouble of developing a system for rating, and then apologize for the results.

[LE Dad]

Originally posted by Cowboy_Up
The Cuero peeps I know can read also.
As far as being the lone Edna dude, well if that's the criteria then what even bother with the exercise? I still don't get why one would go thru all the trouble of developing a system for rating, and then apologize for the results. nm

[Gobbler Fan]

Its a projection dont get all bent ... hell I want Edna to be the favorite when they come to our house with the DC at stake. WOS87 is the man when it comes to number crunching . :D


Until you do your own projections dont gripe and moan when someone else does .

[Cowboy_Up]

Originally posted by Gobbler Fan
Its a projection dont get all bent ... hell I want Edna to be the favorite when they come to our house with the DC at stake. WOS87 is the man when it comes to number crunching . :D


Until you do your own projections dont gripe and moan when someone else does .

Oh c'mon. No way in this world Edna is the favorite, you know it, I know it. But why do it if your going to justify the numbers you don't like?
Because of the way the BCS uses computers you've got all these guys and all these sites trying to come up with the latest, greatest, method. But then. when it doesn't make sense, like putting Edna ahead of Cuero, you throw logic aside. This isn't about Edna/Cuero, its why bother if you can't live with the outcome.

[WOS87]

Originally posted by Cowboy_Up
Oh c'mon. No way in this world Edna is the favorite, you know it, I know it. But why do it if your going to justify the numbers you don't like?
Because of the way the BCS uses computers you've got all these guys and all these sites trying to come up with the latest, greatest, method. But then. when it doesn't make sense, like putting Edna ahead of Cuero, you throw logic aside. This isn't about Edna/Cuero, its why bother if you can't live with the outcome.

Dude, chill! I said at the very beginning that these are VERY preliminary and are likely to change immensely over the next three weeks. I took the disclaimers off. Sorry if it offended you...

[trojandad]

please don't stop projecting in this manner, wos87, he can open his own thread titled "opinions on edna".....i appreciate seeing unopinioned numbers along with other opinioned polls.....

[WOS87]

In regards to Edna, the Cuero-Edna matchup is looking to not really be a factor in how the playoffs will turn out as even if Cuero beats Edna, Edna should still be the favorite to get the District Champ playoff spot in D2 (with Yoakum the favorite to get the Runnerup spot) as Cuero will likely go D1 unless Gonzales can make a major resurgence in the next 3 weeks.

[skins4life]

Originally posted by WOS87
Statewide projections are now complete!! It's been quite a while since I've hit the max number of characters allowed on a post. I had to prune off a few words here and there to make it all fit.

Please let me know if you notice an error in margins of victory listed and I will correct them.
What do you do in your spare time? Man that's a lot of GREAT info.!!!

[LE Dad]

Originally posted by trojandad
please don't stop projecting in this manner, wos87, he can open his own thread titled "opinions on edna".....i appreciate seeing unopinioned numbers along with other opinioned polls..... :iagree: :iagree: :iagree:

[Pawdaddy]

Originally posted by Cowboy_Up
Oh c'mon. No way in this world Edna is the favorite, you know it, I know it. But why do it if your going to justify the numbers you don't like?
Because of the way the BCS uses computers you've got all these guys and all these sites trying to come up with the latest, greatest, method. But then. when it doesn't make sense, like putting Edna ahead of Cuero, you throw logic aside. This isn't about Edna/Cuero, its why bother if you can't live with the outcome.

[Pawdaddy]

Originally posted by Pawdaddy


Sorry. I did not know the BCS picked Edna over Cuero. They must have looked at the same information WOS87 did!!! Good job WOS87!

[GrTigers6]

I don't think district 7-3A will end up that way but you never know. We will definetly know by next friday when we play China Spring.

[fourbeee]

"please don't stop projecting in this manner, wos87, he can open his own thread titled "opinions on edna".....i appreciate seeing unopinioned numbers along with other opinioned polls....."

Ditto............................................. .....................................

[rholl]

some people will find anything to beeeech about!! Keep up the good work!!! I, for one enjoy the read!!!!!!!!

[trojandad]

and just so its out there before tonight, i have no personal idea on the outcome of caldwell/rockdale, but wos87's point spread for that game is bigger than most i've seen....since it's unopinioned, i'm really interested to see how "on the money" the prediction ends up being....

[trojandad]

my compliments, wos87......you had caldwell as a 14 pt winner, they went one touchdown better......very commendable......

[ProudHornetMom]

WOS87 does know his stuff...and I thankful he shares his knowledge with us.