Hurricane Dolly [Archive] - Texas DownLow Forum

SintonFan_inAustin

07-20-2008, 05:31 PM

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/iwxpage/adc/popup/iws1_430.jpg
Tropical Storm Dolly has taken aim at the Yucatan Peninsula since forming around midday Sunday. Dolly is expected to make landfall around midnight EDT near Punta Allen. Dolly, however, will make more than one landfall in its lifetime. Dolly is forecast to emerge into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday, approaching the extreme northeastern coast of Mexico and becoming a hurricane in the following days.

Dolly, as a Category 1 hurricane, should make its second landfall along the extreme northeastern coast of Mexico early Wednesday morning. While its center will remain to the south, Dolly will still impact South Texas. Locally drenching showers and thunderstorms will periodically overspread South Texas starting Tuesday with widespread heavy rain to follow at night and Wednesday. Gusty winds will also increase over South Texas Tuesday night.

Residents and visitors headed to the coastline of Texas and Louisiana should be advised that waves and the threat for rip currents will begin increasing on Tuesday.

Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Kristina Baker

popcorn screen

07-20-2008, 06:38 PM

Can Dolly see her toes?:D

Bull Butter

07-20-2008, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by popcorn screen
Can Dolly see her toes?:D

I know of 2 things she CAN see

Her arms!

piratebg

07-20-2008, 07:28 PM

Well, work has put me on an unofficial stand by mode. We'll have to wait and see exactly where Dolly his headed and how strong she becomes.

BwdLion73

07-20-2008, 08:10 PM

Sinton Fan...I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I have been watching this system and talking with some of my friends in the business and they said watch out Corpus to Brownsville! Once it makes it into the Gulf all bets are off. Looks good to be pulled farther North than they think. Adjusters are being called and put on stand by and Austin has started up its emergency services operation.
I hope our friends to the south pay attention to this.

pirate4state

07-20-2008, 08:40 PM

well we need rain, but not that kind of rain!

SWMustang

07-20-2008, 08:42 PM

bring it on, Dolly

zebrablue2

07-20-2008, 08:46 PM

hello dolly....

piratebg

07-20-2008, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by BwdLion73
Once it makes it into the Gulf all bets are off. Looks good to be pulled farther North than they think.

I just told my supervisors the exact same thing. I read somewhere that they are expecting it to make its second landfall as a Category 1 storm, but the Gulf waters are warm and storms always strengthen very quickly once they are in the open waters. We should have a better idea of what its gonna do by early Tuesday.

SWMustang

07-20-2008, 09:24 PM

I'm going to Shlitterbahn in Galveston on Saturday. Dolly better cooperate.

BwdLion73

07-20-2008, 10:21 PM

piratebg, I think that it may miss the Yuc-all together or at least just skirt it. I know it is several days off but as one who makes a good living off these things I think they are (NHC) downplaying this a bit to stop oil panic. We will know by Wednesday night or Thursday but I say ....fill up the water bottles and gas up the truck.

Bull Butter

07-20-2008, 11:14 PM

Dolly has intensified a bit and the projected path is more toward South Texas:eek:

piratebg

07-21-2008, 05:02 AM

Well, Dolly may not have made landfall last night afterall. The center of circulation looks like it just missed land so Dolly has strengthened a little. I'm pretty sure they were counting on her weakening before she entered the Gulf and now that she missed land, I wonder if this changes the forecast.

sinfan75

07-21-2008, 05:30 AM

lookin at the radar it's goinmore northerly than they say. looks like more Corpus and north than south

underware

07-21-2008, 09:31 AM

My company (insurance) has suspended all new business and reinstatements. Hope everyone has their Home insurance payed up. I've had 10 calls from 8 am to 9 for people that want to pay their bills that have lapsed. sorry Charlie.

44INAROW

07-21-2008, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by underware
My company (insurance) has suspended all new business and reinstatements. Hope everyone has their Home insurance payed up. I've had 10 calls from 8 am to 9 for people that want to pay their bills that have lapsed. sorry Charlie.

same here underware - just got the emails a while ago........... I was glad I was up to date on my TWIA renewals ;)

footballgal

07-21-2008, 10:16 AM

I wasn't aware until probably a few weeks ago that my insurance didn't cover flood ... that was seperate and even after purchase it takes 30 days to take into effect I was going to purchase it Thurs - Pay day.. so as it stands it's like I don't have insurance :eek:

DDBooger

07-21-2008, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by footballgal
I wasn't aware until probably a few weeks ago that my insurance didn't cover flood ... that was seperate and even after purchase it takes 30 days to take into effect I was going to purchase it Thurs - Pay day.. so as it stands it's like I don't have insurance :eek: well its moving real fast so flash flooding may be avoided, unless it slows down and feeds on that warm gulf water.

pirate4state

07-21-2008, 10:43 AM

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/GULFVS.JPG

:(

Bull Butter

07-21-2008, 11:15 AM

About time to head to Wal-Mart for storm supplies

Phil C

07-21-2008, 11:28 AM

Also time to fill up the car. "This is what the Fat Cats are waiting for to increase the gasoline prices by outrageous amounts again" said the Sinton GodFather while on his way out to get his car to go fill up with gasoline.

DDBooger

07-21-2008, 11:33 AM

Originally posted by Phil C
Also time to fill up the car. "This is what the Fat Cats are waiting for to increase the gasoline prices by outrageous amounts again" said the Sinton GodFather while on his way out to get his car to go fill up with gasoline. well phil if it goes in through the valley I wonder what band will be affected by this in south padre?:thinking:

Maroon87

07-21-2008, 11:38 AM

Jim Cantore!!:clap:

Seriously...ya'll take care down there.:)

Phil C

07-21-2008, 11:56 AM

Phil C

07-21-2008, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by DDBooger
well phil if it goes in through the valley I wonder what band will be affected by this in south padre?:thinking:

OMG! :eek: :(

WOS87

07-21-2008, 12:07 PM

Current computer models

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200804_model.gif

Phil C

07-21-2008, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by WOS87
Current computer models

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200804_model.gif

What do the colored lines mean? :(

Phil C

07-21-2008, 12:13 PM

CONTROL YOUR NERVES PEOPLE!!!

:mad:

espn1

07-21-2008, 12:24 PM

When is it going to hit? We need some rain!

footballgal

07-21-2008, 01:46 PM

landfall is projected for Wednesday.

Phil C

07-21-2008, 02:10 PM

I hope it doesn't mess up my Tour De France watching. :(

footballgal

07-21-2008, 02:54 PM

Latest Projection

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT04/refresh/AL0408W_sm2+gif/143233W_sm.gif

SintonFan_inAustin

07-21-2008, 04:26 PM

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/sat_mosaic_640x480_public/ei/isaegul.gif

Ranger Mom

07-21-2008, 04:48 PM

Hmmmm:thinking:

I wonder if this could possibly bring the Frio River levels up!!!

DU_stud04

07-21-2008, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by Ranger Mom
Hmmmm:thinking:

I wonder if this could possibly bring the Frio River levels up!!! they'll close it. :evillol:

sinfan75

07-21-2008, 07:44 PM

Hope everybody filled up today. gas prices probably be up tomorrow even though all the offshore companies say the storm won't affect the rigs

Ranger Mom

07-21-2008, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by DU_stud04
they'll close it. :evillol:

Oh well....it would still be a week later before I would even be there!! :p

Bull Butter

07-21-2008, 08:26 PM

Jim Cantore should be on the Island tomorrow.

Bar patrons beware!

piratebg

07-21-2008, 10:23 PM

Well, we here in San Patricio County are now under a Hurricane Warning. My neighbors across the street are boarding up their windows right now. All I've done so far is remove all the Fisher Price items out of my front lawn. :D

Necks_Fan

07-21-2008, 10:26 PM

My flight from KCI to Hobby comes in Wednesday. I wonder if it will be delayed or cancelled?

Chief Woodman

07-22-2008, 07:35 AM

That is prepardeness at its finest!! Avast ye land lubbers!! Save ye tha toys!! Argggggg!!

Originally posted by piratebg
Well, we here in San Patricio County are now under a Hurricane Warning. My neighbors across the street are boarding up their windows right now. All I've done so far is remove all the Fisher Price items out of my front lawn. :D

footballgal

07-22-2008, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by piratebg
.... My neighbors across the street are boarding up their windows right now. All I've done so far is remove all the Fisher Price items out of my front lawn. :D
LOL!:D

pirate4state

07-22-2008, 08:54 AM

Originally posted by Bull Butter
Jim Cantore should be on the Island tomorrow.

Bar patrons beware!

He was in Port Aransas this morning complaining about the mosquitos! :D

pirate4state

07-22-2008, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by SintonFan_inAustin
http://sirocco.accuweather.com/sat_mosaic_640x480_public/ei/isaegul.gif

looks like houston is gonna get some rain!

Bull Butter

07-22-2008, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by pirate4state
He was in Port Aransas this morning complaining about the mosquitos! :D

Yeah, I think we're gonna get Mike Seidel. Good reporter but not as fun to party with

pirate4state

07-22-2008, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by Bull Butter
Yeah, I think we're gonna get Mike Seidel. Good reporter but not as fun to party with I think you need to head for cover & not worry about partying! LOL

44INAROW

07-22-2008, 11:06 AM

is it just me or does it seem that Dolly is making a slight turn to the northeast?

pirate4state

07-22-2008, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by 44INAROW
is it just me or does it seem that Dolly is making a slight turn to the northeast? It sure looks that way, but her current movement is NW at 12 mph.

footballgal

07-22-2008, 11:28 AM

The way it looks like it's going right now - it looks like it would hit north of the RGV closer to CC area. Who knows really? well have to just be prepared and wait and see.

TarponFanInNorthTexas

07-22-2008, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by Bull Butter
Yeah, I think we're gonna get Mike Seidel. Good reporter but not as fun to party with

Jim Cantore went to Port Aransas.....why?

SWMustang

07-22-2008, 12:37 PM

winds are picking up and clouds are rolling in here in houston

Necks_Fan

07-22-2008, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by SWMustang
winds are picking up and clouds are rolling in here in houston I guess this means that I should call Hobby to check up on this flight eh?

Maroon87

07-22-2008, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by TarponFanInNorthTexas
Jim Cantore went to Port Aransas.....why?

Because there are good bars in Port A too...;)

SWMustang

07-22-2008, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by Necks_Fan
I guess this means that I should call Hobby to check up on this flight eh?

You're coming back tomorrow right? It might be a little early for that. I think you'll be fine though.

Phil C

07-22-2008, 02:29 PM

Jim probably wanted to hear the great Pelican West Band but probably got mixed up where they were located and went to Port Aransas thinking they were there instead of South Padre Island Texas.

DDBooger

07-22-2008, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by Phil C
Jim probably wanted to hear the great Pelican West Band but probably got mixed up where they were located and went to Port Aransas thinking they were there instead of South Padre Island Texas. :thumbsup:

Bull Butter

07-22-2008, 05:04 PM

Cantore is on South Padre Island now.

Let the party begin!:)

sinfan75

07-22-2008, 05:25 PM

Sure looks like its moving more northerly but dead wrong Dale says it's going in to Brownsville. Everybody likes watching Dale during a hurricane. He gets really pumped.

orange machine

07-22-2008, 05:27 PM

To all our south Texas friends good luck and i hope you all make it out ok.:)

DDBooger

07-22-2008, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by sinfan75
Sure looks like its moving more northerly but dead wrong Dale says it's going in to Brownsville. Everybody likes watching Dale during a hurricane. He gets really pumped. its like his superbowl

pirate4state

07-22-2008, 05:31 PM

SWMustang

07-22-2008, 05:32 PM

it would have to increase by 100% to double in size

Bull Butter

07-23-2008, 12:56 AM

So far, not much. A little wind and not much rain.

That could change

Johnny 5

07-23-2008, 01:38 AM

boring so far. I might make a mid hurricane run to Walmart . . . just to do it

Maroon87

07-23-2008, 08:39 AM

Looks like it's getting dicey down there...

Ranger Mom

07-23-2008, 08:51 AM

This site might be pretty neat! I haven't clicked on any links yet, but they are all supposed to be live feeds, or updated every 10 seconds or so.

Watch Dolly here (http://dube.wordpress.com/2008/07/22/storm-enthusiasts-watch-dolly-live/)

Bull Butter

07-23-2008, 09:02 AM

It's 9:00 and we still have power. Some gusty winds(50-60 MPH) and about 2 inches of rain so far.

espn1

07-23-2008, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by Bull Butter
It's 9:00 and we still have power. Some gusty winds(50-60 MPH) and about 2 inches of rain so far. Send it this way.

WOS87

07-23-2008, 09:24 AM

http://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/BRO_0.png

turbostud

07-23-2008, 09:58 AM

I'm 60 miles inland and we are getting some good wind and rain coming in at an angle. Nothing major yet.

44INAROW

07-23-2008, 10:00 AM

It's starting to drizzle in Cuero -

pirate4state

07-23-2008, 10:02 AM

For the moment it appears that the rain is to the south & north of us. We haven't even had a nice down pour yet! LOL

Keeping my fingers crossed that it doesn't change. :)

turbostud

07-23-2008, 11:08 AM

We are now getting 30-40 mph wind gusts and sideways rain.

44INAROW

07-23-2008, 11:24 AM

11 a.m. Dolly update

July 23, 2008 - 11:11 a.m.
A tornado watch remains in effect for the Victoria area until 7 p.m. today.

At last report, Hurricane Dolly was 30 miles east-southeast of Brownsville and moving northwest at 7 mph. It had 100 mph winds.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I saw somewhere where Dolly was upgraded to a Cat 2 but not sure if that's accurate or not.........
update to the update

Category 2 Hurricane Dolly
Tim Ballisty, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
11:15 a.m. ET 7/23/2008
As landfall nears, Hurricane Dolly is strengthening and is now packing maximum sustained winds of 100 mph; a category two hurricane.

With its slow movement over the Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane Dolly remains just barely offshore allowing it to further intensify this morning. The center of Dolly's eyewall is expected to make landfall near S. Padre Island early this afternoon.

As of 10 a.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Dolly was located about 30 miles east-northeast of Brownsville, Texas. Dolly has slowed even more; moving to the northwest at just 7 mph. The storm's pressure, measured by the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance plane, has now fallen to 964 mb.

turbostud

07-23-2008, 11:24 AM

Reports of power outages in Port Isabel and Los Fresnos. Lots of windows broken and debris on the Island. Partial roof blown off of the west side of the Radisson.

SintonFan_inAustin

07-23-2008, 11:29 AM

down pours in Corpus at SPID, woohoo they gave us the day off. Had a service call in Sinton but i'm off the clock now

turbostud

07-23-2008, 11:33 AM

Looks like the eye is going to pass just north of S Padre Island.

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/sat_mosaic_640x480_public/ei/isaegul.gif

pirate4state

07-23-2008, 11:52 AM

getting some rain now, wind so far isn't anything we haven't seen before --- hope it stays that way!

piratebg

07-23-2008, 11:57 AM

I drove from Sinton to Portland about 30 minutes ago and probably averaged about 55mph most of the way. I cleared up once I got near Portland, but the rain is bad.

Necks_Fan

07-23-2008, 12:01 PM

We changed my flight to later in the day now. I am not scheduled to land at Hobby until 8:25 now. I think it should definitle be ok by then.

firstdown

07-23-2008, 01:19 PM

Just talked to my Big Sis that lives in Brownsville. She said that they have 85 mph winds and tons of rain. It's her first experience with a Hurricane. Told me the rain is going sideways.:eek: But that they still have power in their part of town.

DDBooger

07-23-2008, 01:23 PM

Brett went just south of CC in 99, but you don't forget what the wind sounds like. crazy. being in one head on must be pretty scary.

TarponFanInNorthTexas

07-23-2008, 01:23 PM

From the looks of it, the eye made landfall just north of Port Isabel/South Padre Island, where there is no population living there. But from the look of the doppler radar, it looks like the south side of the eyewall is where the most potent storms are, and Port Isabel/South Padre Island caught that.

I have a cousin who is in a rather big house in Port Isabel proper and she's said they had a 90mph wind gust, sustained winds around 75 out of the West and Northwest now

turbostud

07-23-2008, 01:59 PM

Lots of trees down in the Harligen area. Lots of wind damage.

turbostud

07-23-2008, 02:09 PM

Looks like Raymondville and Port Mansfield are getting a direct hit.

Maroon87

07-23-2008, 04:02 PM

Looks like she slowed down and strengthened early this morning...made landfall as a Category 2.

piratebg

07-23-2008, 04:30 PM

It's letting up a lot over here, but I know Dolly is not done with us yet. There is still plenty of rain left.

Maroon87

07-23-2008, 04:33 PM

We're just getting scattered showers here...the skies definitely have that "hurricane" look to them.

I talked to my Dad at lunch and he said he was getting some occasionally heavy rain and some strong gusts west of Five Points.