PDA

View Full Version : In-Depth Region I Playoff Picture and Projection



WOS87
10-25-2007, 05:34 AM
This is the exact same format I used last year.... If I have time I'll try to put up the other regions today but I'm double-covering and have a very long day ahead of me so no promises. :cool:

DISTRICT 1 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(2) Fort Stockton 3-0 (6-1)
(4) Monahans 3-0 (4-3)
(7) Anthony 2-2 (5-2)
(1) Fabens 2-2 (5-3)
(5) Clint 2-2 (5-3)
(3) Pecos 0-3 (0-7)
(6) Tornillo 0-3 (3-3)

There are 9 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Monahans favored over Tornillo (Wk 9) 100%
Anthony favored over Tornillo (Wk 8) 100%
Fort Stockton favored over Pecos (Wk 9) 100%
Fort Stockton favored over Clint (Wk 10) 95%
Pecos favored over Tornillo (Wk 10) 92%
Monahans favored over Anthony (Wk 10) 82%
Fabens favored over Pecos (Wk 8) 82%
Fabens favored over Clint (Wk 9) 61%
Fort Stockton favored over Monahans (Wk 8) 53%

Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (1) Fabens 4-2
Division II Top Seed - (2) Fort Stockton 6-0
Division II Runnerup - (4) Monahans 5-1
(7) Anthony 3-3
(5) Clint 2-4
(3) Pecos 1-5
(6) Tornillo 0-6


DISTRICT 3 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(1) Andrews 0-0 (6-1)
(2) Snyder 0-0 (5-2)
(3) Lamesa 0-0 (0-7)
(4) Midland Greenwood 0-0 (5-2)

There are 6 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Snyder is favored over Lamesa (Wk 9) 100%
Andrews is favored over Lamesa (Wk 8) 100%
Midland Greenwood is favored over Lamesa (Wk 10) 100%
Snyder is favored over Midland Greenwood (Wk 8) 68%
Snyder is favored over Andrews (Wk 10) 65%
Andrews is favored over Midland Greenwood (Wk 9) 57%

Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (1) Andrews 2-1
Division II Top Seed - (2) Snyder 3-0
Division II Runnerup - (4) Midland Greenwood 1-2
(3) Lamesa 0-3


DISTRICT 4 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(1) Levelland 0-0 (3-4)
(2) Lubbock Cooper 0-0 (4-3)
(3) Seminole 0-0 (3-4)
(4) Brownfield 0-0 (6-1)

There are 6 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Brownfield is favored over Levelland (Wk 10) 77%
Brownfield is favored over Seminole (Wk 8) 67%
Brownfield is favored over Lubbock Cooper (Wk 9) 66%
Lubbock Cooper is favored over Levelland (Wk 8) 59%
Seminole is favored over Levelland (Wk 9) 52%
Seminole is favored over Lubbock Cooper (Wk 10) 52%

Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (2) Lubbock Cooper 1-2
Division II Top Seed - (4) Brownfield 3-0
Division II Runnerup - (3) Seminole 2-1
(1) Levelland 0-3


DISTRICT 5 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(1) Canyon 0-0 (6-1)
(2) Borger 0-0 (1-6)
(3) Perryton 0-0 (2-5)
(4) Dalhart 0-0 (3-4)

There are 6 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Canyon is favored over Borger (Wk 8) 94%
Canyon is favored over Dalhart (Wk 10) 90%
Canyon is favored over Perryton (Wk 9) 89%
Dalhart is favored over Borger (Wk 9) 71%
Perryton is favored over Borger (Wk 10) 61%
Dalhart is favored over Perryton (Wk 8) 51%

Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (1) Canyon 3-0
Division II Top Seed - (4) Dalhart 2-1
Division II Runnerup - (3) Perryton 1-2
(2) Borger 0-3


DISTRICT 6 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(5) Vernon 1-0 (6-1)
(3) Graham 1-0 (7-0)
(1) Burkburnett 1-1 (6-2)
(4) Iowa Park 1-1 (4-4)
(2) Wichita Falls Hirschi 0-2 (3-5)

There are 6 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Vernon is favored over WF Hirschi (Wk 8) 100%
Burkburnett is favored over WF Hirschi (Wk 9) 100%
Graham is favored over Iowa Park (Wk 8) 98%
Graham is favored over Vernon (Wk 9) 92%
Graham is favored over Burkburnett (Wk 10) 84%
Vernon is favored over Iowa Park (Wk 10) 82%

Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (1) Burkburnett 2-2
Division II Top Seed - (3) Graham 4-0
Division II Runnerup - (5) Vernon 3-1
(4) Iowa Park 1-3
(2) WF Hirschi 0-4


DISTRICT 7 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(1) Abilene Wylie 1-0 (5-2)
(4) Breckenridge 1-0 (3-4)
(2) Sweetwater 1-1 (5-3)
(3) Clyde 1-1 (5-3)
(5) Comanche 0-2 (0-8)

There are 6 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Abilene Wylie is favored over Comanche (Wk 10) 100%
Clyde is favored over Comanche (Wk 9) 100%
Abilene Wylie is favored over Breckenridge (Wk 9) 99%
Clyde is favored over Breckenridge (Wk 8) 96%
Sweetwater is favored over Breckenridge (Wk 10) 91%
Abilene Wylie is favored over Sweetwater (Wk 8) 81%

Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (1) Abilene Wylie 4-0
Division II Top Seed - (3) Clyde 3-1
Division II Runnerup - (2) Sweetwater 2-2
(4) Breckenridge 1-3
(5) Comanche 0-4


DISTRICT 8 Standings after Week 7
(numbers in parentheses are enrollment ranking)

(1) Decatur 2-0 (4-3)
(5) Argyle 2-0 (6-1)
(2) Gainesville 1-1 (1-6)
(4) Bridgeport 1-1 (4-3)
(3) Sanger 0-2 (2-5)
(6) Bowie 0-2 (1-6)

There are 9 remaining district matchups:

Remaining District Games Ranked from Most Predictable to Least Predictable
(using Massey Ratings probability percentage)

Argyle is favored over Sanger (Wk 10) 97%
Decatur is favored over Bowie (Wk 10) 89%
Decatur is favored over Gainesville (Wk 8) 85%
Argyle is favored over Bridgeport (Wk 8) 81%
Bridgeport is favored over Sanger (Wk 9) 81%
Bridgeport is favored over Gainesville (Wk 10) 81%
Argyle is favored over Decatur (Wk 9) 72%
Gainesville is favored over Bowie (Wk 9) 68%
Sanger is favored over Bowie (Wk 8) 56%


Most Likely Final Standings

Division I - (1) Decatur 4-1
Division II Top Seed - (5) Argyle 5-0
Division II Runnerup - (4) Bridgeport 3-2
(2) Gainesville 2-3
(3) Sanger 1-4
(6) Bowie 0-5

PROJECTED 3A REGION I PLAYOFF MATCHUPS

Division I

(Dist 1) Fabens vs. (Dist 2) BYE
(Dist 3) Andrews vs. (Dist 4) Lubbock Cooper
(Dist 5) Canyon vs. (Dist 6) Burkburnett
(Dist 7) Abilene Wylie vs. (Dist 8) Decatur

Division II

(Dist 1 #1) Fort Stockton (9-1) vs. (Dist 2 #2) BYE
(Dist 3 #1) Snyder vs. (Dist 4 #2) Seminole
(Dist 5 #1) Dalhart vs. (Dist 6 #2) Vernon
(Dist 7 #1) Clyde vs. (Dist 8 #2) Bridgeport
(Dist 1 #2) Monahans vs. (Dist 2 #1) BYE
(Dist 3 #2) Midland Greenwood vs. (Dist 4 #1) Brownfield
(Dist 5 #2) Perryton vs. (Dist 6 #1) Graham
(Dist 7 #2) Sweetwater vs. (Dist 8 #1) Argyle

Texasfootball2
10-25-2007, 08:02 AM
Division II

(Dist 1 #1) Fort Stockton (9-1) vs. (Dist 2 #2) BYE
(Dist 3 #1) Snyder vs. (Dist 4 #2) Seminole
(Dist 5 #1) Dalhart vs. (Dist 6 #2) Vernon
(Dist 7 #1) Clyde vs. (Dist 8 #2) Bridgeport
(Dist 1 #2) Monahans vs. (Dist 2 #1) BYE
(Dist 3 #2) Midland Greenwood vs. (Dist 4 #1) Brownfield
(Dist 5 #2) Perryton vs. (Dist 6 #1) Graham
(Dist 7 #2) Sweetwater vs. (Dist 8 #1) Argyle


This bracket would produce a possible Clyde/Vernon rematch, with the winner possibly getting Snyder.