Tropical Storm Erin (merged)

[NewYorkYankee]

Hope yall r ready,hope this doesnt cancel any scrimmages:confused:

[AP Panther Fan]

yep, just got this from our tech department awhile ago....

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL
MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AND INTO SOUTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED CLOSELY BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FOR POSSIBLE STRENGTHENING AND DEVELOPMENT TODAY
AND WEDNESDAY. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THIS AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ANY FURTHER...IT WILL BRING TROPICAL MOISTURE IN
THE FORM OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
ON AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES. INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR DEVELOPMENT
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR UPDATES ON
THIS POSSIBLE DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

[burnet44]

here it is

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/SatelliteLoop/hicbsat_None_anim.gif

[setxsports]

Pray that Dean in the Atlantic doesn't look like this on Aug. 23

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_216l.gif

[luvhoops34]

Thanks for posting the map B44. :)

My daughter's father in law is in charge of emergency management for Cameron County. So, I'm sure she will be well taken care of.

[AP Panther Fan]

Originally posted by **********
Pray that Dean in the Atlantic doesn't look like this on Aug. 23

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_216l.gif


Is that the one off the coast of Africa? That is the one I am worrying about.

Oh....and yes, thanks for posting the map.

[IHS Fan]

you can' really tell by the pictures but the storm that was supposed to hit tomorrow afternoon has started in this morning. the leading edge is here. i work by the ferry landing at port a. and it has been thundering and lightning since 10:30. now it is starting to rain lightly. it's dark enough for the lights outside to come on. the thunder and lightning is right on top of us.

[setxsports]

Yes Dean is in the Atlantic. Models are bringing it to Texas on the 23rd as a Monster, it's a long way off though and hopefully things will change.

[Maroon87]

Jim Cantore!:thumbsup:

[AP Panther Fan]

Originally posted by Maroon87
Jim Cantore!:thumbsup:


hahaha...everytime he shows up in South Texas, the storm heads the other way. Maybe he should start scheduling his flight into CC International Airport.:thinking: ;)

[sahen]

Originally posted by **********
Yes Dean is in the Atlantic. Models are bringing it to Texas on the 23rd as a Monster, it's a long way off though and hopefully things will change.

normally that is good...if the models say it will hit you early on then you can almost guarantee it wont...most likely wont even be close.....

[burnet44]

Dean


http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/CustomGraphic/HurTrack1.gif


http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/SatelliteLoop/hifloat2_None_anim.gif

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/SatelliteLoop/hifloat1_None_anim.gif

Flossie

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/SatelliteLoop/hifloat3_None_anim.gif

[pirate4state]

Originally posted by **********
Yes Dean is in the Atlantic. Models are bringing it to Texas on the 23rd as a Monster, it's a long way off though and hopefully things will change. not cool Dean!!! :mad:

[burnet44]

110 mph winds
8am Sunday

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

Wow, first time I hear about this system in the Gulf. I'm not TOO worried about it, though. It probably won't form into anything major before it makes landfall.

Now Dean, on the other hand, worries me. It's track looks to take it right into the Gulf, and it has plenty of open ocean to strengthen into a monster. :eek:

[IHStangFan]

Originally posted by pirate4state
not cool Dean!!! :mad: LOL!! Yeah Dean....whats your malfunction?!

[duckbutter]

Originally posted by **********
Yes Dean is in the Atlantic. Models are bringing it to Texas on the 23rd as a Monster, it's a long way off though and hopefully things will change. Coop, do your models show any chance of a high pressure building to turn this beast?

[burnet44]

hurricanes are low pressure
another reason they rotate counter clock wise
also is why they travel against the earths rotation
they travel east to west
instead of west to east
I believe the southern hemisphere may be the opposite?
Not sure
but high pressure does push and move them around
this determines a lot where they travel

[setxsports]

Originally posted by duckbutter
Coop, do your models show any chance of a high pressure building to turn this beast? A high is pushing it west now. The question will be if the trough off the E. Coast pulls it north toward the end of the week.

[piratebg]

I've been put on standby for the next couple of days now because of the TS.

[BILLYFRED0000]

Well they still are not sure if the trough will pull it off or if it will creep into the gulf. I think tho that the path favors the Gulf. It is pretty far south if the track is right and that is the wrong place for a trough in August. Troughs usually will not get that far south till September.

[tortilla_man]

im supose to go fish on baffin on friday

[bccards]

tropical storm watch freeport to brownsville
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0507W5+gif/023522W_sm.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/150233.shtml

[burnet44]

.

[luvhoops34]

Dean is the one that scares me.:(

[D_bird]

Well, let me give my opinion on this...

What a lot of the folks on one of the weather boards are saying is that a trough of low pressure is supposed to develop sometime over the weekend over the northeastern part of the US. now whether or not it will be strong enough to alter Dean's course is the question. This is what everyone should be rooting for is a trough over the northeast to develop, because if Dean does make it into the Gulf of Mexico there is no where for it to go without hitting land.

[BILLYFRED0000]

Originally posted by D_bird
Well, let me give my opinion on this...

What a lot of the folks on one of the weather boards are saying is that a trough of low pressure is supposed to develop sometime over the weekend over the northeastern part of the US. now whether or not it will be strong enough to alter Dean's course is the question. This is what everyone should be rooting for is a trough over the northeast to develop, because if Dean does make it into the Gulf of Mexico there is no where for it to go without hitting land.

Just looking at the satellite, it looks like dean is too far south. Unless it goes further north at a later date it will pass south of Cuba right into the gulf. I have never seen a trough go that far south this time of year.

[D_bird]

Originally posted by BILLYFRED0000
I have never seen a trough go that far south this time of year.

I haven't either...

I just now got thru reading the latest advisory and forecast track from the NHC and the track is actually quite a bit south of where it was earlier today and one of the forecasts from one of the weather boards I read paints a bad picture for the northern Mexico and Texas coasts. So you all definitely need to be watching this one.

[JHS_c/o_06']

is this going to get San Antonio......i know it won't directly hit san antonio.....but will we get any rain out of it?

[IHStangFan]

Originally posted by luvhoops34
Dean is the one that scares me.:( me too...every Dean I've ever known has been a real....you know...and I'm sure this Dean won't be any diff. I've already started getting things in order...I'm silly like that.

[piratebg]

Bring on the rain damn it. I took it a whole month. I can take it again.


MOTHER NATURE, I'M CALLING YOU OUT!!!

[piratebg]

And just for the record, that comment is directed to what will become Tropical Storm Erin only. That is not an open invitation for Dean. I may be crazy but I'm not stupid.

[3afan]

Originally posted by luvhoops34
Dean is the one that scares me.:(

yeah he's a badass

[burnet44]

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/SatelliteLoop/hifloat5_None_anim.gif

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/RadarLoop/bro_None_anim.gif


http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/CustomGraphic/HurTrack2.gif

[Phil C]

Now I'm really depressed. :(

[pooch]

this is my 6th time to be....

[crzyjournalist03]

is this expected to reach hurricane status? Is there reason to worry?

[crzyjournalist03]

I once had a friend whose last name was Dean and he moved to Europe...maybe this storm will do the same. :)

[D_bird]

It is now Tropical Storm Erin

[burnet44]

8am thurs land fall
winds 45 mph

[burnet44]

lol
we wish lol

[burnet44]

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/SatelliteLoop/hifloat6_None_anim.gif



http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/RadarLoop/bro_None_anim.gif

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/WatchWarning/r10.jpg

http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/THUNDERcast/bro_d0_18.jpg

[NewYorkYankee]

This system is predicted to become hurricane strength before it hits land:eek:

[NewYorkYankee]

This system is predicted to become hurricane strength before it hits land:eek:

[carter08]

I wanted to go to Houston to the Back Door Slam concert tonight, but with all this rain moving in...

[crzyjournalist03]

:confused: I'm confused...are there two different storms heading toward Houston? Where's Dean and where's Erin???

[pirate4state]

Originally posted by crzyjournalist03
:confused: I'm confused...are there two different storms heading toward Houston? Where's Dean and where's Erin??? Erin is knocking on the door in the coastal bend. Dean is not until next week or something.

[Maroon87]

Originally posted by pirate4state
Erin is knocking on the door in the coastal bend. Dean is not until next week or something.

It's already raining in Galveston and from the looks of it outside it will be raining here soon.

[pirate4state]

Originally posted by Maroon87
It's already raining in Galveston and from the looks of it outside it will be raining here soon. It is very HOT here right now, and lots of cloud cover to the NE. :D

[tortilla_man]

Im upset, i had guided fishing trip set up for this friday on baffin bay, thats not going to happen, was my summer trip i was going to take, because of school and work.

[44INAROW]

We've been receiving faxes since 8:30AM from Home Offices of our Insurance Carriers - putting a moratorium on issuing new policies or increasing existing coverage. Most likely in effect for Erin and Dean........ wonder if this has happened before - an "E" storm hitting land before a "D" storm?:thinking:

[crzyjournalist03]

Originally posted by 44INAROW
wonder if this has happened before - an "E" storm hitting land before a "D" storm?:thinking:


see, that's what was confusing me!!!

[Maroon87]

FNC is doing regular reports from the CC bayfront.

[Ranger Mom]

Originally posted by IHStangFan
me too...every Dean I've ever known has been a real....you know...and I'm sure this Dean won't be any diff. I've already started getting things in order...I'm silly like that.

LOL!! We have a "Dean" that posts on this board. :D :D

[IHStangFan]

Originally posted by Ranger Mom
LOL!! We have a "Dean" that posts on this board. :D :D NO OFFENSE DEAN!!! LOL. It looks like we're starting to get the first of the bands from Erin. It's cloudy, it'll rain, then its sunny....then it'll cloud back up...and repeat.

[Phil C]

Unfortunately the Fat Cats will use Dean and Erin to raise gasoline prices sky high to increase their profits and bonuses. :(

[pirate4state]

Originally posted by Phil C
Unfortunately the Fat Cats will use Dean and Erin to raise gasoline prices sky high to increase their profits and bonuses. :( you best go stock up then. gas is $2.39 in 5 points :) i filled up last night

[Footballhudini]

Originally posted by pirate4state
you best go stock up then. gas is $2.39 in 5 points :) i filled up last night

Heh... I can't believe nowdays we're bragging about filling up on 2.39 gas...

[sinfan75]

What's weird is that when the rain bands hit land they just break up. Sinton ain't got a drop. Went to AP around 3 today, dark as could be to the east. Then it just broke up. This storm may just dry up it even makes landfall. remember there ain't been alot of really hot weather until the last week or so because of all the rain we've had to really warm the western gulf. Seems like it's fizzling to me.

[sotex]

Originally posted by sinfan75
What's weird is that when the rain bands hit land they just break up. Sinton ain't got a drop. Went to AP around 3 today, dark as could be to the east. Then it just broke up. This storm may just dry up it even makes landfall. remember there ain't been alot of really hot weather until the last week or so because of all the rain we've had to really warm the western gulf. Seems like it's fizzling to me.

I believe you could be right about this storm fizzling. As early as the 5:00 newscast it looked that way. The San Antonio weather men are still saying we are going to get soaked but I think they are crazy. Now when Dean comes to town that could be a different story.

[sinfan75]

Yeah one thing about Dean if it goes between Cuba and the Yukatan Corpus Folk better worry. if it goes north of Cuba all the northern gulf coast better worry.

[sotex]

certainly Dean should be watched. The current forecast has Dean headed straight for the western gulf.

[sotex]

Actually it is way to early tell where Dean will go. He could hit Belize of even further south and not affect Texas at all.

[sinton66]

If Dean crosses the Yucatan, it'll be very South of kingsville or northern mexico.

[burnet44]

2.60 here

[IHStangFan]

Originally posted by sinfan75
What's weird is that when the rain bands hit land they just break up. Sinton ain't got a drop. Went to AP around 3 today, dark as could be to the east. Then it just broke up. This storm may just dry up it even makes landfall. remember there ain't been alot of really hot weather until the last week or so because of all the rain we've had to really warm the western gulf. Seems like it's fizzling to me. same thing here all day....the first band I saw come near us on radar was the strongest and produced about a 3 or 4 min shower in my area...after that...it was just cloudy, then sunny...cloudy then sunny.

[KingRob]

By the looks of the radar this morning, a lot of the rain went north of Port O'Connor. Giving my dad a call in Victoria later today. The weather here in Germany is typical, Cool with rain showers. No summer this year. Depressing....:(

[catman]

I hope Erin brings some of that rain up here to DFW so that I don't have to water the lawn.

[Gobbla2001]

Goliad County has already had two tornado warnings via radar... do not believe anyone has seen any...

we're just getting rain, that's all, I'm in between Port O'Conner and Palacios inland about 7 miles... just rain, really no wind...

[HippoBaseball05]

Rainfall just starting here......

[Maroon87]

We're getting flooded pretty good here.

[luvhoops34]

Parts of Flour Bluff had 4 in last night.

No rain at work or home for me.

Storm is at George West.

[Maroon87]

http://www.click2houston.com/index.html

Hope the video link works...

[IHStangFan]

Houston is getting absolutely POUNDED! Especially the downtown area. I have my police scanner on now, and its nuts, floods, stranded cars, stranded POLICE cars that are unable to respond, and I just heard some guy got struck by lightning. We just had a strong cell go over our house and the lightning and thunder was some of the worst I can recall. We seem to either be inbetween bands of moisture, or its pretty much over for us here....downtown isnt so lucky.

[setxsports]

Rescues underway in Houston.

[JHS_c/o_06']

how bad is I-10 going through houston.....my parents are coming with some furniture of mine tomorrow....should i tell them to go through college station to get to san antonio.....or will they be ok taking I-10?

[IHStangFan]

Originally posted by JHS_c/o_06'
how bad is I-10 going through houston.....my parents are coming with some furniture of mine tomorrow....should i tell them to go through college station to get to san antonio.....or will they be ok taking I-10? Houston is flooding in several areas.....if you're in San Antone...YOU'LL be flooding before tomorrow...probably a bad idea for them to get out and about in your direction at all.

[Maroon87]

For the most part the freeways look OK...it's the underpasses and feeder roads that are the trouble spots.

[Bandera YaYa]

Originally posted by IHStangFan
Houston is flooding in several areas.....if you're in San Antone...YOU'LL be flooding before tomorrow...probably a bad idea for them to get out and about in your direction at all.
San Antonio is flooding as we speak!:eek:

[IHStangFan]

Originally posted by Bandera YaYa
San Antonio is flooding as we speak!:eek: yeah, I figured as much. Houston was getting it earlier...another wave has just begun here at our place south of Houston...I am hearing the loud thunder again and its starting to rain once more.

[Maroon87]

I-10 @ McCarty in Houston is closed, both directions.