Almost that time Again

[SHSBulldog00]

Snapshots will be during the week of Oct 23rd - 27th

What are the new schools opening that will be involved in this realignment and who could be potential 4A schools?

What is your schools enrollment? Post below

New Schools include

Fort Bend Crawford (6A)
New Caney West Fork (5A D1)
Prosper Walnut Hill (5A D2)
Eagle Mountain (4A D1)
Lubbock Cooper Liberty (4A D2)

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

A few RGV tidbits that may come to pass that I've heard so far.

Brownsville Veterans Memorial - 5A D1 to 6A
Edcouch-Elsa - 5A D2 to 4A D1
Raymondville - 4A D2 to 3A D1
Los Fresnos - Currently 6A but....
Rio Grande City Grulla - 4A D2 to 4A D1
Port Isabel - ?!?!? Opt up possibility...

After Port Isabel played Brownsville Vets earlier in the season in non-district, word was received that they had "2400+ kids" at their HS, which is well into 6A numbers. I later on heard from 2 more sources saying the same thing.

Now, regarding Edcouch-Elsa and Raymondville. Both of them were very near the drop zone in the last realignment. EE by about 20 kids, and Raymondville by about 10-15. Both are rumored to still be losing kids to various other schools (IDEA, private, transferring to other ISDs, home schooling). If that is indeed the case and their numbers do drop, that along with a higher cutoff number will most likely see both of them dropping in classification.

Los Fresnos CISD is rumored to be building a 2nd high school. As to when that comes to pass, it may happen for the 26-27 alignment. Both Los Fresnos schools will most likely fall well into the 5A D2 range, as currently there's roughly 3,200 kids at Los Fresnos now. I'm assuming half of that number go to the new HS.

Rio Grande City Grulla are rumored to be building a 2nd middle school. That + rumored enrollment increases (transfers from Rio Grande City most likely?) may see RGC Grulla back in 4A D1. That just leaves....

Port Isabel. Currently 4A D2 and in a 4-team district with aforementioned schools Raymondville and RGC Grulla. If Raymondville drops and Grulla goes up, that leaves Port Isabel as the only 4A D2 team in the entire Rio Grande Valley region. Now...word is that Port Isabel is in the same boat as Raymondville in terms of lower enrollment numbers. There is a new private school in Laguna Vista (part of PIISD) that has taken a few kids from the HS. There have also been kids transferring away to Los Fresnos, Brownsville St. Joseph, and IDEA schools in the Brownsville area. Port Isabel's enrollment number last realignment was in the 590 range. I haven't heard anything "specific" regarding their current number though I've heard various estimates between 550 and 570. IIRC, the 4A/3A cutoff was 540 last alignment. If that number only goes up 10 to 550, Port Isabel most likely remains 4A D2. If it goes up to 555 or 560, then there's a very small chance Port Isabel drops to 3A D1.

So if Port Isabel does remain in 4A D2, the next closest 4A D2 school (assuming they don't drop back down to 3A) would be Bishop. After that, Robstown. That IS NOT CLOSE! It would be Port Isabel as the lone RGV team in a district full of Corpus Christi area teams. Port Isabel would have no choice but to opt up to 4A D1 to be in a district with RGV area teams La Feria, Hidalgo, Zapata, and Grulla assuming they go back up to D1. But if Port Isabel drops to 3A D1 (very small chance) they'll be in a district with some very familiar faces. Rio Hondo, Raymondville (assuming they drop), Lyford, and Progreso just to name a few.

[SHSBulldog00]

Great info on the RGV

[SHSBulldog00]

Latest Update

Fort Bend Crawford 6A

5AD2

New Caney West Fork
Prosper Walnut Grove
Anna
Iowa Colony
Boerne (Likely)
Alice (Likely)

Wichita Falls is Consolidating Old High, Rider and Hirschi into two new 5AD2 schools

WF Memorial
WF Legacy

[SHSBulldog00]

4AD1

Likely
Clint
Clint Mountain View
Fabens

Dallas Conrad (Drop)
Dallas Kimball (Drop)
Dallas Lincoln (Opt Up)
Dallas Roosevelt (Opt Up)

Lake Dallas
Longview Pine Tree
Edcouch Elsa (Likely)

RGC LA Grulla (Likely Opt Up to 4AD1)

Port Isabel (Opt Up or Not)

Saginaw Eagle Mountain 4AD1/4AD2

[jason]

Rumor mill says Waco La Vega could be dropping to 4aD2.

[SHSBulldog00]

4A D2

Lubbock Liberty
Lubbock Estacado (Likely)

[SHSBulldog00]

4A D2 continued

Waco La Vega

3A D1

Bishop
Orange Grove
Raymondville

RUMOR
Texarkana Liberty Eylau to 3A D1? Need more info

[SHSBulldog00]

4A/5A Bubble School's

Canyon West Plains
Jacksonville
Lindale
Austin LBJ (Could Opt Up Again)

[SHSBulldog00]

4A D1/D2 Split Likely Above 900

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

4A D1/D2 Split Likely Above 900

If the D1/D2 split is over 900, there's a very strong chance both Kingsville and La Feria are on the D1/D2 bubble.

[piratebg]

Another school to look for in 4A is CC London. They are growing fast and if they don't make the move from 3AD1 to 4AD2 this time around, it will definitely happen next time. The last couple of alignments their numbers have jumped and they are growing fast. Lots of housing is being built in the area.

2018 266
2020 353
2022 472

[sinfan75]

Wasn't too long ago the only thing out there was the London Gin. LOL

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

Another school to look for in 4A is CC London. They are growing fast and if they don't make the move from 3AD1 to 4AD2 this time around, it will definitely happen next time. The last couple of alignments their numbers have jumped and they are growing fast. Lots of housing is being built in the area.

2018 266
2020 353
2022 472

CC London turned in 540. CLOSE, but still 3A for a couple more seasons. They'll definitely be in 4A for the following alignment.

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

4AD1

Likely
Clint
Clint Mountain View
Fabens

Dallas Conrad (Drop)
Dallas Kimball (Drop)
Dallas Lincoln (Opt Up)
Dallas Roosevelt (Opt Up)

Lake Dallas
Longview Pine Tree
Edcouch Elsa (Likely)

RGC LA Grulla (Likely Opt Up to 4AD1)

Port Isabel (Opt Up or Not)

Saginaw Eagle Mountain 4AD1/4AD2

Have some info for you.

RGC Grulla will remain 4A D2 and not opt up. Their # falls within current 4A D2 ranges.

Port Isabel will remain 4A D2 and not opt up. I know PI's number, but it hasn't been made public yet so I am not at liberty to say. It isn't low enough to be 3A for sure.

Edcouch Elsa turned in 1371, which is an actual INCREASE rather than the predicted decrease. They most likely remain 5A D2 unless the 5A/4A cutoff goes up astronomically.

[piratebg]

West Oso turned in 537. Looks like they will be dropping down to 3A.

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

Add La Feria to the 4A D1/D2 bubble, especially if the rumored D1/D2 cutoff goes up to 905 910 or 915.

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

La Feria turns in 901
RGC La Grulla turns in 908.

Both are on the D1/D2 bubble. Port Isabel really has to hope the D1/D2 cutoff is at least 910 otherwise PI ends up being the only 4AD2 team in the entire RGV and will most likely have no choice but to opt up to D1. Which is really unfortunate because Port Isabel is not too far away from having 3AD1 numbers.

[SHSBulldog00]

I'm interested in what these numbers are

Not yet reported

Iowa Colony (Will be 5A D2) Tons of growth near them

Freeport Brazosport (Trending 4A D2 lately)

Austin LBJ (If 4A D2 Look for them to Opt Up to 4A D1)

Dallas school's
Conrad
Kimball
Lincoln
Roosevelt

Longview Pine Tree

Saginaw Eagle Mountain (Could be 4A D1/D2 Split)

Raymondville (Believed to be dropping to 3A D1)

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

I'm interested in what these numbers are

Not yet reported

Iowa Colony (Will be 5A D2) Tons of growth near them

Freeport Brazosport (Trending 4A D2 lately)

Austin LBJ (If 4A D2 Look for them to Opt Up to 4A D1)

Dallas school's
Conrad
Kimball
Lincoln
Roosevelt

Longview Pine Tree

Saginaw Eagle Mountain (Could be 4A D1/D2 Split)

Raymondville (Believed to be dropping to 3A D1)

Regarding Raymondville, I've heard "below 540". But nothing "exact" from them. So still speculation at this point.

[jason]

Austin LBJ (If 4A D2 Look for them to Opt Up to 4A D1)


Austin LBJ should have dropped to 4ad2 last realignment but they opted up to 5ad2.

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

Austin LBJ should have dropped to 4ad2 last realignment but they opted up to 5ad2.

I believe Austin ISD forced them to do it.

[SHSBulldog00]

Saginaw Eagle Mountain 863

School's that could be moving to 4A

Houston Sterling 1,340
Corpus Christi Moody 1,332
El Paso Ysleta 1,292
Lake Dallas 1,287
Fort Bend Willowridge 1,270.5
Fort Bend Crawford 1,256
Fort Worth Southwest 1,249
Austin Travis 1,222

Houston Yates 781 moving to D2

Other schools in the vicinity

Kerrville Tivy 1,397
Corpus Christi Miller 1,397
Mercedes 1,396 or 1,395
Jacksonville 1,394
El Paso Hankins 1,388
Denison 1,372
Edcouch Elsa 1,371
Alice 1,364
Corpus Christi King 1,362

[TarponFanInNorthTexas]

Port Isabel turned in 593