OldNavy
11-13-2011, 05:45 PM
Division I
Predicted score--------------------------(Actual Score)
Region I BI-DISTRICT
Cooper 27 - Borger 20-------------------(34--9)
Seminole 46 - Fabens 0------------------(61--0)
Abilene Wylie 38 - Burkburnett 24-------(28—17)
Alvarado 42 - Mineral Wells 0------------(69—6)
REGION II BI-DISTRICT
Celina 40 - Sanger 27 -------------------(42—21)
Lovejoy 35 - Dallas Madison 21---------(24—7)
Lindale 45 - Kaufman 18 ----------------(38—28)
Henderson 42 - Paris 28-----------------(55—17)
REGION III BI-DISTRICT
Chapel Hill 40 - Jasper 0 -----------------(70—28)
Levaga 42 - Palistine 0 ------------------(35—20)
Silsbee 14 - Huffman Hargrave 13 ------(14—19)
Navasota 34 - Sealy 28------------------(40—13)
REGION IV BI-DISTRICT
Lampasas 32 - Boerne 28---------------(35—21)
La Vernia 35 - Somerset 21-------------(28—0)
Columbia 27 - Rockport Fulton 13------(34--15)
RGC Grulla 21 - Raymondville 16--------(9—29)
DIVISION II
REGION I BI-DISTRICT
Shallowater 28, Dalhart 25--------------(40—7)
Midland Greenwood 40, Pecos 21-------(42—14)
Snyder 36, Graham 7 -------------------(35--19)
Decatur 40, Kennedale 28---------------(14—24)
Lubbock Estacado 36, Perryton 14 -----(61—21)
Monahans 42, Clint 0--------------------(43—6)
Brownwood 34, Bowie 20---------------(49--13)
Bridgeport 42, Glen Rose 34-------------(56—57)
REGION II BI-DISTRICT
Argyle 41, Commerce 14----------------(49—7)
Prosper 42 Wilmer-Hutchins 7-----------(28--7)
North Forney 31, Wills Point 17 ---------(34—28)
Carthage 28, Liberty Eylau 6 ------------(28--7)
Whitesboro 41, Van Alstyne 34----------(14—40)
Princeton 41, Roosevelt 20--------------(30—21)
Van 45, Ferris 14 ------------------------(51—23)
Gilmer 41, Atlanta 14--------------------(48—14)
REGION III BI-DISTRICT
Center 28, Bullard 27 --------------------(14-24)
Waco Robinson 41, Mexia 17------------(28—7)
West Orange-Stark 41, Cleveland 12 ---(58-14)
Smithville 33, Columbus 19--------------(14—21)
Rusk 42, Kirbyville 35 --------------------(47-18)
Fairfield 21, Lorena 20--------------------(14—28)
Coldspring-Oakhurst 36, Bridge City 12---(7—0)
Bellville 22, Giddings 20-------------------(28—18)
REGION IV BI-DISTRICT
Liberty Hill 21, Navarro 20----------------(35—14)
Devine 38, SA Houston 34----------------(27—19)
Ingleside 47, Wharton 26-----------------(35—36)
Port Isabel 28, Orange Grove 27---------(14—28)
Wimberley 47, Taylor 13------------------(38—31) 2OT
Gonzales 34, Hondo 14-------------------(21—10)
Sinton 28, Sweeny 16 --------------------(7—35)
Rio Hondo 40, Lyford 26------------------(27—14)
Massey picked 37 correctly and missed on 11. That is a 77% success rate without seeing any of the teams play or knowing anything other than their previous scores against opponents and their opponents scores against other teams, and so forth.
The question now is why did it miss? With Port Isabel vs. Orange Grove, Liberty Hill vs. Navarro, Bellville vs. Giddings, Center vs. Bullard, and Silsbee vs. Huffman, those were a toss-up, which could go either way (statistically, I am not saying those winning teams were not superior.) But according to the data and the way Massey computes it, they had performed in an even manner for the year with a nearly equal probability of one winning over the other.
Sinton, on the other hand, was a two TD favorite over Sweeny, but Sweeny won by 4 TDs. Wimberley was heavily favored over Taylor, but won by a TD in two overtimes. It makes you wonder if there is more to the story than Sweeny or Taylor getting hot this weekend.
Predicted score--------------------------(Actual Score)
Region I BI-DISTRICT
Cooper 27 - Borger 20-------------------(34--9)
Seminole 46 - Fabens 0------------------(61--0)
Abilene Wylie 38 - Burkburnett 24-------(28—17)
Alvarado 42 - Mineral Wells 0------------(69—6)
REGION II BI-DISTRICT
Celina 40 - Sanger 27 -------------------(42—21)
Lovejoy 35 - Dallas Madison 21---------(24—7)
Lindale 45 - Kaufman 18 ----------------(38—28)
Henderson 42 - Paris 28-----------------(55—17)
REGION III BI-DISTRICT
Chapel Hill 40 - Jasper 0 -----------------(70—28)
Levaga 42 - Palistine 0 ------------------(35—20)
Silsbee 14 - Huffman Hargrave 13 ------(14—19)
Navasota 34 - Sealy 28------------------(40—13)
REGION IV BI-DISTRICT
Lampasas 32 - Boerne 28---------------(35—21)
La Vernia 35 - Somerset 21-------------(28—0)
Columbia 27 - Rockport Fulton 13------(34--15)
RGC Grulla 21 - Raymondville 16--------(9—29)
DIVISION II
REGION I BI-DISTRICT
Shallowater 28, Dalhart 25--------------(40—7)
Midland Greenwood 40, Pecos 21-------(42—14)
Snyder 36, Graham 7 -------------------(35--19)
Decatur 40, Kennedale 28---------------(14—24)
Lubbock Estacado 36, Perryton 14 -----(61—21)
Monahans 42, Clint 0--------------------(43—6)
Brownwood 34, Bowie 20---------------(49--13)
Bridgeport 42, Glen Rose 34-------------(56—57)
REGION II BI-DISTRICT
Argyle 41, Commerce 14----------------(49—7)
Prosper 42 Wilmer-Hutchins 7-----------(28--7)
North Forney 31, Wills Point 17 ---------(34—28)
Carthage 28, Liberty Eylau 6 ------------(28--7)
Whitesboro 41, Van Alstyne 34----------(14—40)
Princeton 41, Roosevelt 20--------------(30—21)
Van 45, Ferris 14 ------------------------(51—23)
Gilmer 41, Atlanta 14--------------------(48—14)
REGION III BI-DISTRICT
Center 28, Bullard 27 --------------------(14-24)
Waco Robinson 41, Mexia 17------------(28—7)
West Orange-Stark 41, Cleveland 12 ---(58-14)
Smithville 33, Columbus 19--------------(14—21)
Rusk 42, Kirbyville 35 --------------------(47-18)
Fairfield 21, Lorena 20--------------------(14—28)
Coldspring-Oakhurst 36, Bridge City 12---(7—0)
Bellville 22, Giddings 20-------------------(28—18)
REGION IV BI-DISTRICT
Liberty Hill 21, Navarro 20----------------(35—14)
Devine 38, SA Houston 34----------------(27—19)
Ingleside 47, Wharton 26-----------------(35—36)
Port Isabel 28, Orange Grove 27---------(14—28)
Wimberley 47, Taylor 13------------------(38—31) 2OT
Gonzales 34, Hondo 14-------------------(21—10)
Sinton 28, Sweeny 16 --------------------(7—35)
Rio Hondo 40, Lyford 26------------------(27—14)
Massey picked 37 correctly and missed on 11. That is a 77% success rate without seeing any of the teams play or knowing anything other than their previous scores against opponents and their opponents scores against other teams, and so forth.
The question now is why did it miss? With Port Isabel vs. Orange Grove, Liberty Hill vs. Navarro, Bellville vs. Giddings, Center vs. Bullard, and Silsbee vs. Huffman, those were a toss-up, which could go either way (statistically, I am not saying those winning teams were not superior.) But according to the data and the way Massey computes it, they had performed in an even manner for the year with a nearly equal probability of one winning over the other.
Sinton, on the other hand, was a two TD favorite over Sweeny, but Sweeny won by 4 TDs. Wimberley was heavily favored over Taylor, but won by a TD in two overtimes. It makes you wonder if there is more to the story than Sweeny or Taylor getting hot this weekend.